Indian G-Sec Market: How the Term Structure Reacts to Monetary Policy
Abstract
Against the backdrop of interest rate risk in the fixed income portfolios of the financial institutions in India that arose since the first quarter of the current financial year 2008-09 the influence of monetary policy on the term structure emerged as an important issue for research purposes. In this context the findings in this paper are (i) strongest sensitivity of the term structure at the short end compared to other parts to expected changes in monetary policy, (ii) existence of unutilized arbitraged opportunities in the case of short term securities in absence of stripping, (iii) a mitigating tendency in the fluctuations of Nelson-Siegel-Svensson short rate and the proxy monetary policy rate during the post sample period and (iv) existence of a fear among the market participants about the future liquidity conditions during the last quarter of 2007-08.Download Info
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 16436.Length:
Date of creation: 02 Jul 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:16436
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Keywords: term structure; liquidity; monetary policy; Nelson-Siegel-Svensson; Vasicek; federal funds target rate; MIBOR;Find related papers by JEL classification:
- E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
- E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2009-08-02 (All new papers)
- NEP-CWA-2009-08-02 (Central & Western Asia)
- NEP-MAC-2009-08-02 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-MON-2009-08-02 (Monetary Economics)
References
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- Bekaert, Geert & Hodrick, Robert J. & Marshall, David A., 1997.
"On biases in tests of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates,"
Journal of Financial Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 309-348, June.
- Geert Bekaert & Robert J. Hodrick & David A. Marshall, 1996. "On Biases in Tests of the Expecations Hypothesis of the Term Structure Of Interest Rates," NBER Technical Working Papers 0191, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Geert Bekaert & Robert J. Hodrick & David Marshall, 1996. "On biases in tests of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates," Working Paper Series, Issues in Financial Regulation WP-96-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Cox, John C & Ingersoll, Jonathan E, Jr & Ross, Stephen A, 1985. "A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(2), pages 385-407, March.
- Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
- Hany S. Guirguis & Christos I. Giannikos, 2007. "A note on the effect of expected changes in monetary policy on long-term interest rates," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 0, pages 99-114, May.
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