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Acceptable Risk in a Portfolio Analysis

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Author Info
Steinbacher, Matjaz

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Abstract

A social network has been used to simulate how agents of different levels of risk aversion under different circumstances behave in financial markets when deciding between risk-free and a risky asset. This is done by a discrete time version evolutionary game of risk-loving and risk-averse agents. The evolutionary process takes place on a social network through which investors acquire information they need to choose the strategy. A significant feature of the paper is that first-order stochastic dominance is a key determinant of the decision-making, while second-order stochastic dominance is not, with the level of omniscience and preferences of agents also having a significant role. Under most of the circumstances, pure risk-aversion turns out to be dominated strategy, while pure risk-taking “almost” dominant.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/13569/
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 13569.

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Date of creation: 2009
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:13569

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Related research
Keywords: social networks; portfolio analysis; stochastic finance; stochastic dominance;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
Z13 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - Social Norms and Social Capital; Social Networks Economic Anthropology
C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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  6. Kahneman, Daniel & Tversky, Amos, 1979. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(2), pages 263-91, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Arthur, W. Brian, 2006. "Out-of-Equilibrium Economics and Agent-Based Modeling," Handbook of Computational Economics, in: Leigh Tesfatsion & Kenneth L. Judd (ed.), Handbook of Computational Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 32, pages 1551-1564 Elsevier. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Barberis, Nicholas & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert, 1998. "A model of investor sentiment1," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 307-343, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Barsky, Robert B & De Long, J Bradford, 1993. "Why Does the Stock Market Fluctuate?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 108(2), pages 291-311, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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