IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/110963.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The challenges and opportunities of electricity generation on economic growth in South Africa: An ARDL approach

Author

Listed:
  • Hlongwane, Nyiko Worship
  • Daw, Olebogeng David

Abstract

This study examines the challenges and opportunities of electricity generation from coal on growth of South African economy. The study utilizes the available annual time series data collected from secondary sources (World Bank) spanning for the period from 1971 to 2015. The study employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and an Error Correction Model (ECM) to analyse the challenges and opportunities of coal-fired electricity generation on growth South African economy. Statistical results from revealed a positive statistically insignificant short run and positive statistically significant long run relationship between electricity generated from coal and economic growth in South Africa. Renewable electricity generation also contribute positively to economic growth both in the short and long run period. The policy implication from this study is that the policy makers need to acknowledge the positive contribution of coal-fired electricity generation, revise policies on decommissioning of these powerplants, implement policies that encourage coal-fired electricity generation in a way that is environmentally friendly and increase investment in renewable electricity generation to boosts economic growth in South Africa.

Suggested Citation

  • Hlongwane, Nyiko Worship & Daw, Olebogeng David, 2021. "The challenges and opportunities of electricity generation on economic growth in South Africa: An ARDL approach," MPRA Paper 110963, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:110963
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/110963/9/MPRA_paper_110963.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kwiatkowski, Denis & Phillips, Peter C. B. & Schmidt, Peter & Shin, Yongcheol, 1992. "Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root : How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1-3), pages 159-178.
    2. Yoo, Seung-Hoon & Kim, Yeonbae, 2006. "Electricity generation and economic growth in Indonesia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(14), pages 2890-2899.
    3. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    4. Khobai, Hlalefang, 2018. "The causal linkages between renewable electricity generation and economic growth in South Africa," MPRA Paper 86485, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Halil Alt ntas & Melike Kum, 2013. "Multivariate Granger Causality between Electricity Generation, Exports, Prices and Economic Growth in Turkey," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 3(Special), pages 41-51.
    6. Lean, Hooi Hooi & Smyth, Russell, 2010. "Multivariate Granger causality between electricity generation, exports, prices and GDP in Malaysia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 3640-3648.
    7. Hlalefang Khobai, 2018. "The causal links between renewable electricity generation and economic growth in South Africa," Working Papers 1821, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University.
    8. Marques, António Cardoso & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Menegaki, Angeliki N., 2014. "Interactions between electricity generation sources and economic activity in Greece: A VECM approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 34-46.
    9. Bahareh Oryani & Yoonmo Koo & Shahabaldin Rezania, 2020. "Structural Vector Autoregressive Approach to Evaluate the Impact of Electricity Generation Mix on Economic Growth and CO 2 Emissions in Iran," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-16, August.
    10. Marques, António Cardoso & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Nunes, André Roque, 2016. "Electricity generation mix and economic growth: What role is being played by nuclear sources and carbon dioxide emissions in France?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 7-19.
    11. Maslyuk, Svetlana & Dharmaratna, Dinusha, 2013. "Renewable Electricity Generation, CO2 Emissions and Economic Growth: Evidence from Middle-Income Countries in Asia /Generación de electricidad renovable, las emisiones de CO2 y crecimiento económico: ," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 31, pages 217-244, Enero.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Nyiko Worship Hlongwane & Olebogeng David Daw, 2023. "Electricity Consumption and Population Growth in South Africa: A Panel Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(3), pages 374-383, May.
    2. Nyiko Worship Hlongwane & Mpho Lenoke & Olebogeng David Daw, 2023. "An Analysis of Electricity Generation, Supply, and Economic Growth in Selected SADC Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(6), pages 482-493, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hlongwane, Nyiko Worship & Daw, Olebogeng David, 2021. "An increase of electricity generation can lead to economic growth in South Africa," MPRA Paper 111018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Nyiko Worship Hlongwane & Olebogeng David Daw, 2022. "The Challenges and Opportunities of Electricity Generation on Economic Growth in South Africa: An ARDL Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 164-174, March.
    3. Nyiko Worship Hlongwane & Olebogeng David Daw, 2023. "Electricity Trade and Economic Growth in South Africa," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 355-364, September.
    4. Hussain Ali Bekhet & Nor Hamisham Harun, 2017. "Elasticity and Causality among Electricity Generation from Renewable Energy and Its Determinants in Malaysia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 202-216.
    5. Kyophilavong, Phouphet & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Kim, Byoungki & OH, Jeong-Soo, 2017. "A note on the electricity-growth nexus in Lao PDR," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 1251-1260.
    6. Marques, António Cardoso & Junqueira, Thibaut Manuel, 2022. "European energy transition: Decomposing the performance of nuclear power," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    7. Tang, Chor Foon & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2011. "Revisiting the Electricity Consumption-Growth Nexus for Portugal: Evidence from a Multivariate Framework Analysis," MPRA Paper 28393, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Nyiko Worship Hlongwane & Mpho Lenoke & Olebogeng David Daw, 2023. "An Analysis of Electricity Generation, Supply, and Economic Growth in Selected SADC Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(6), pages 482-493, November.
    9. Halil Alt ntas & Melike Kum, 2013. "Multivariate Granger Causality between Electricity Generation, Exports, Prices and Economic Growth in Turkey," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 3(Special), pages 41-51.
    10. Hamdi, Helmi & Sbia, Rashid & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2014. "The nexus between electricity consumption and economic growth in Bahrain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 227-237.
    11. Oryani, Bahareh & Koo, Yoonmo & Rezania, Shahabaldin & Shafiee, Afsaneh, 2021. "Investigating the asymmetric impact of energy consumption on reshaping future energy policy and economic growth in Iran using extended Cobb-Douglas production function," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    12. Husaini, Dzul Hadzwan & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2022. "Renewable and non-renewable electricity-growth nexus in Asia: The role of private power plants and oil price threshold effect," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    13. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Mutascu, Mihai & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2012. "Revisiting the Relationship between Electricity Consumption, Capital and Economic Growth: Cointegration and Causality Analysis in Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 97-120, September.
    14. Turan Katircioglu, Salih, 2013. "Interactions between energy and imports in Singapore: Empirical evidence from conditional error correction models," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 514-520.
    15. Nyiko Worship Hlongwane & Olebogeng David Daw, 2023. "Renewable Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: A Comparative Study of South Africa and Zimbabwe," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(3), pages 197-206, May.
    16. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2012. "The dynamics of electricity consumption and economic growth: A revisit study of their causality in Pakistan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 146-153.
    17. Ahmad, Ashfaq & Zhao, Yuhuan & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Bano, Sadia & Zhang, Zhonghua & Wang, Song & Liu, Ya, 2016. "Carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth: An aggregate and disaggregate analysis of the Indian economy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 131-143.
    18. Marques, António Cardoso & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Nunes, André Roque, 2016. "Electricity generation mix and economic growth: What role is being played by nuclear sources and carbon dioxide emissions in France?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 7-19.
    19. Li, Songran & Shao, Qinglong, 2022. "Greening the finance for climate mitigation: An ARDL–ECM approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 1469-1481.
    20. Chor Tang & Bee Tan, 2014. "The linkages among energy consumption, economic growth, relative price, foreign direct investment, and financial development in Malaysia," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 781-797, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Electricity generation; Economic growth; Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)Model; Renewable electricity; South Africa;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C29 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Other
    • P19 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Other
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:110963. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.