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Ergodicity, mixing, and existence of moments of a class of Markov models with applications to GARCH and ACD models

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Mika Meitz
Pentti Saikkonen

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Abstract

This paper studies a class of Markov models which consist of two components. Typically, one of the components is observable and the other is unobservable or `hidden`. Conditions under which geometric ergodicity of the unobservable component is inherited by the joint process formed of the two components are given. This implies existence of initial values such that the joint process is strictly stationary and ?-mixing. In addition to this, conditions for the existence of moments are also obtained and extensions to the case of nonstationary initial values are provided. All these results are applied to a general model which includes as special cases various first order generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models with possibly complicated non-linear structures. The results only require mild moment assumptions and in some cases provide necessary and sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity.

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Paper provided by University of Oxford, Department of Economics in its series Economics Series Working Papers with number 327.

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Date of creation: 2007
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Handle: RePEc:oxf:wpaper:327

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Keywords: Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Autoregressive Conditional Duration GARCH-in-mean Nonlinear Time Series Models Geometric Erogidicity Mixing Strict Stationarity Existence of Moments Markov Models

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - General
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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  3. Carrasco, Marine & Chen, Xiaohong, 2002. "Mixing And Moment Properties Of Various Garch And Stochastic Volatility Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(01), pages 17-39, March. [Downloadable!]
  4. Grammig, Joachim & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2002. "A Family of Autoregressive Conditional Duration Models," Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 440, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
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  5. Meitz, Mika, 2006. "A Necessary And Sufficient Condition For The Strict Stationarity Of A Family Of Garch Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(05), pages 985-988, August. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Hentschel, Ludger, 1995. "All in the family Nesting symmetric and asymmetric GARCH models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 71-104, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Meitz, Mika & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2004. "Evaluating models of autoregressive conditional duration," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 557, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 13 Dec 2004. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Marcelo Cunha Medeiros & Alvaro Veiga, 2004. "Modelling multiple regimes in financial volatility with a flexible coefficient GARCH model," Textos para discussão 486, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
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  12. Ling, Shiqing & McAleer, Michael, 2003. "Asymptotic Theory For A Vector Arma-Garch Model," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(02), pages 280-310, January. [Downloadable!]
  13. Ling, Shiqing & McAleer, Michael, 2002. "Stationarity and the existence of moments of a family of GARCH processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 106(1), pages 109-117, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo, 2002. "Evaluating GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 417-435, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  15. Zhang, Michael Yuanjie & Russell, Jeffrey R. & Tsay, Ruey S., 2001. "A nonlinear autoregressive conditional duration model with applications to financial transaction data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 104(1), pages 179-207, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  18. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Meitz, Mika & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2006. "Stability of nonlinear AR-GARCH models," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 632, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Teräsvirta, Timo, 2007. "Modelling Multivariate Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with the Double Smooth Transition Conditional Correlation GARCH model," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 0652, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Mika Meitz & Pentti Saikkonen, 2008. "Parameter estimation in nonlinear AR-GARCH models," Economics Series Working Papers 396, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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