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Nuisance parameters, composite likelihoods and a panel of GARCH models

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Author Info

  • Cavit Pakel

    ()
    (Department of Economics and Oxford-Man Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford)

  • Neil Shephard

    ()
    (Oxford-Man Institute and Department of Economics, University of Oxford, Oxford)

  • Kevin Sheppard

    ()
    (Oxford-Man Institute and Department of Economics, University of Oxford, Oxford)

Abstract

We investigate the properties of the composite likelihood (CL) method for (T ×N_T ) GARCH panels. The defining feature of a GARCH panel with time series length T is that, while nuisance parameters are allowed to vary across N_T series, other parameters of interest are assumed to be common. CL pools information across the panel instead of using information available in a single series only. Simulations and empirical analysis illustrate that in reasonably large T CL performs well. However, due to the estimation error introduced through nuisance parameter estimation, CL is subject to the “incidental parameter” problem for small T.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford in its series Economics Papers with number 2009-W12.

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Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: 02 Oct 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:nuf:econwp:0912

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Web page: http://www.nuff.ox.ac.uk/economics/

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Keywords: ARCH models; composite likelihood; nuisance parameters; panel data;

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References

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  2. Arellano, M. & Honore, B., 2000. "Panel Data Models: Some Recent Developments," Papers 0016, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Y Financieros-.
  3. L. Bauwens & J. V. K. Rombouts, 2007. "Bayesian Clustering of Many Garch Models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2-4), pages 365-386.
  4. BAUWENS, Luc & LAURENT, Sébastien & ROMBOUTS, Jeroen VK, . "Multivariate GARCH models: a survey," CORE Discussion Papers RP -1847, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
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  8. Kenneth D. West, 1994. "Asymptotic Inference About Predictive Ability," Macroeconomics 9410002, EconWPA.
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  10. Lancaster, Tony, 2000. "The incidental parameter problem since 1948," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 95(2), pages 391-413, April.
  11. Cristiano Varin, 2008. "On composite marginal likelihoods," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer, vol. 92(1), pages 1-28, February.
  12. Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard & Robert F. Engle, 2008. "Fitting vast dimensional time-varying covariance models," Economics Series Working Papers 403, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  13. Hansen, Peter Reinhard & Lunde, Asger, 2006. "Consistent ranking of volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 97-121.
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Cited by:
  1. Diaa Noureldin & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2012. "Multivariate Rotated ARCH Models," Economics Papers 2012-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
  2. Matteo Barigozzi & Christian T. Brownlees & Giampiero M. Gallo & David Veredas, 2014. "Disentangling Systematic and Idiosyncratic Dynamics in Panels of Volatility Measures," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2014_02, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", revised Feb 2014.

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