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Can Capital Controls Alter the Inflation-Unemployment Tradeoff?

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Author Info
Assaf Razin
Chi-Wa Yuen

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Abstract

It is well-known that, in the Mundell-Fleming model, capital mobility creates a channel through which permanent (transitory) shocks to aggregate demand such as fiscal and trade shocks are completely (partially) neutralized by the response of the real exchange rate. An important policy implication of the model which went largely unnoticed is how the transmission of these shocks under different degrees of capital mobility may alter the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, i.e., the Phillips Curve. In the context of the stochastic Mundell-Fleming model, we show that capital controls reduce the output/employment variations at the expense of bigger variations in inflation rates. When the policy maker puts heavier weight on stable employment than on stable inflation, therefore, his/her objective can be attained more easily under capital controls.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 5239.

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Date of creation: Aug 1995
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:5239

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F2 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Campbell, John Y. & Clarida, Richard H., 1987. "The term structure of euromarket interest rates : An empirical investigation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 25-44, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Flood, Robert P & Marion, Nancy Peregrim, 1982. "The Transmission of Disturbances under Alternative Exchange-Rate Regimes with Optimal Indexing," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 97(1), pages 43-66, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1976. "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(6), pages 1161-76, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Razin, Assaf & Sadka, Efraim, 1991. "Efficient investment incentives in the presence of capital flight," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-2), pages 171-181, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Meese, R. & Rogoff, K., 1988. "Was It Real? The Exchange Rate-Interest Differential Ralation Over The Modern Floating-Rate Period," Working papers 368, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems.
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  1. Abhijit Sen Gupta, 2007. "Does Capital Account Openness Lower Inflation?," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi Working Papers 191, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi, India. [Downloadable!]
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