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Housing Tenure, Uncertainty, and Taxation

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Author Info
Harvey S. Rosen
Kenneth T. Rosen
Douglas Holtz-Eakin

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Abstract

Modern empirical work on the choice between renting and owning focuses on the concept of the "user cost" of housing, which integrates into a single measure the various components of housing costs. The standard approach implicitly assumes that households know the user cost of housing with certainty. However, the ex post user cost measure exhibits substantial variability over time, and it is highly unlikely that individuals believe themselves able to forecast these fluctuations with certainty. In this paper, we construct and estimate a model of the tenure choice that explicitly allows for the effects of uncertainty. The results suggest that previous work which ignored uncertainty may have overstated the effects of the income tax system upon the tenure choice.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 1168.

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Date of creation: Nov 1984
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:1168

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Patric H. Hendershott & Joel Slemrod, 1983. "Taxes and the User Cost of Capital for Owner-Occupied Housing," NBER Working Papers 0929, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Dwight M. Jaffee & Kenneth T. Rosen, 1979. "Mortgage Credit Availability and Residential Construction," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 10(1979-2), pages 333-386. [Downloadable!]
  3. Jorgenson, Dale W, 1971. "Econometric Studies of Investment Behavior: A Survey," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 1111-47, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Rosen, Harvey S & Rosen, Kenneth T, 1980. "Federal Taxes and Homeownership: Evidence from Time Series," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(1), pages 59-75, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Joines, Douglas H, 1981. "Estimates of Effective Marginal Tax Rates on Factor Incomes," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 54(2), pages 191-226, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Henderson, J Vernon & Ioannides, Yannis M, 1983. "A Model of Housing Tenure Choice," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(1), pages 98-113, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Fair, Ray C & Jaffee, Dwight M, 1972. "Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 40(3), pages 497-514, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Swan, Craig, 1973. "The Markets for Housing and Housing Services: Comment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 5(4), pages 960-72, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Plosser, Charles I & Schwert, G William & White, Halbert, 1982. "Differencing as a Test of Specification," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 23(3), pages 535-52, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Dougherty, Ann & Van Order, Robert, 1982. "Inflation, Housing Costs, and the Consumer Price Index," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 72(1), pages 154-64, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Diamond, P. A. & Hausman, J. A., 1984. "Individual retirement and savings behavior," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(1-2), pages 81-114. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Martin Feldstein & Lawrence H. Summers, 1979. "Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long Term Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 0232, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Sherwin Rosen & Robert H. Topel, 1986. "A Time-Series Model of Housing Investment in the U.S," NBER Working Papers 1818, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Peter Englund & Min Hwang & John Quigley, 2006. "Hedging Housing Risk," Berkeley Program on Housing and Urban Policy, Working Paper Series 1018, Berkeley Program on Housing and Urban Policy. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Christian A.L. Hilber, 2003. "Neighborhood externality risk and the homeownership status of properties," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. John Quigley & Steven Raphael, 2006. "Is Housing Unaffordable? Why Isn't It More Affordable?," Berkeley Program on Housing and Urban Policy, Working Paper Series 1047, Berkeley Program on Housing and Urban Policy. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Rodriguez, J. & Barrios, J., 2004. "Politica fiscal de vivienda en España y forma de tenencia de la vivienda habitual: una valoracion empirica a nivel provincial," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 4(2). [Downloadable!]
  6. Richard K. Green, 2006. "Airports and Economic Development," Working Papers 0002, School of Business, The George Washington University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Diaz-Serrano, Luis, 2004. "Labour Income Uncertainty, Risk Aversion and Home Ownership," IZA Discussion Papers 1008, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  8. Todd Sinai & Nicholas S. Souleles, 2005. "Owner-occupied housing as a hedge against rent risk," Working Papers 05-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. Juan S. Mora, 2008. "The institutions of house tenancy markets in post-war Western Europe: an economic analysis," Working Papers in Economic History wp08-11, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Historia Económica e Instituciones. [Downloadable!]
  10. Erkki Koskela & Matti Virén, 1985. "On the role of inflation in consumption function," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 121(2), pages 252-260, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. John Quigley, 2006. "Transactions Costs and Housing Markets," Berkeley Program on Housing and Urban Policy, Working Paper Series 1054, Berkeley Program on Housing and Urban Policy. [Downloadable!]
  12. Richard K. Green & Donald Bradley & Brian Surette, 2006. "Overcoming the Barriers to Mexican-American Homeownership," Working Papers 0001, School of Business, The George Washington University. [Downloadable!]
  13. Luis Diaz-Serrano, 2003. "Earnings Uncertainty, Risk-Aversion and Homeownership," Economics, Finance and Accounting Department Working Paper Series n1350204, Department of Economics, Finance and Accounting, National University of Ireland - Maynooth. [Downloadable!]
  14. Steven Sheffrin & Tracy Turner, 2001. "Taxation and House-Price Uncertainty: Some Empirical Estimates," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer, vol. 8(4), pages 621-636, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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