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The Future Population of Canada and Its Age Distribution

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Author Info
Frank T. Denton
Christine H. Feaver
Byron G. Spencer

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Abstract

This paper makes available a number of projections of the age-sex distribution of the Canadian population for the 45-year period 1996 to 2041 and comparisons with the previous 45-year period. The projections combine assumptions relating to fertility, mortality, and migration so as to produce future populations characterised as "medium", "old", "young", "high immigration" and "low immigration". Supplementary calculations include growth rates, for both the total population and selected age groups, and various types of dependency ratios, including ones with a range of age-differentiated weights. It is concluded that substantial aging of the Canadian population appears virtually certain but, based on the demographic evidence, the "dependency burden" is likely to remain below the peak levels attained during the baby boom.

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File URL: http://socserv2.socsci.mcmaster.ca/~iesop/papers/iesop_03.bin
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by McMaster University in its series Independence and Economic Security of the Older Population Research Papers with number 3.

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Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: Jun 1996
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:mcm:iesopp:3

Note: Type of Document - Wordperfect 6.1
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Related research
Keywords: population forecasts

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
J10 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - General
J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends and Forecasts
J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth

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  1. Frank T. Denton & Byron G. Spencer, 1999. "Population Aging and Its Economic Costs: A Survey of the Issues and Evidence," Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports 340, McMaster University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Frank T. Denton & Byron G. Spencer, 1998. "Economic Costs of Population Aging," Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports 339, McMaster University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Frank T Denton & Christine H Feaver & Byron G Spencer, 2005. "Population Aging in Canada: Software for Exploring the Implications for the Labour Force and the Productive Capacity of the Economy," Social and Economic Dimensions of an Aging Population Research Papers 146, McMaster University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Frank T. Denton & Byron G. Spencer, 2003. "Population Change and Economic Growth: The Long-Term Outlook," Social and Economic Dimensions of an Aging Population Research Papers 102, McMaster University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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This page was last updated on 2008-10-3.


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