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Crime, Prosecutors, and the Certainty of Conviction

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Author Info

  • Entorf, Horst

    ()
    (Goethe University Frankfurt)

Abstract

This paper tests predictions of a structural, augmented supply-of-offenders model regarding the relative effects of police, public prosecution and courts, respectively, on crime. Using detailed data on the different stages of the criminal prosecution process in Germany, empirical evidence suggests that public prosecutors and their influence on the probability of conviction play a major role in explaining the variation of crime rates, while the impact of the severity of punishment is small and insignificant.

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File URL: http://ftp.iza.org/dp5670.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 5670.

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Length: 42 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2011
Date of revision:
Publication status: published - as joint work with Hannes Spengler - in: European Journal of Law and Economics, 2013, [Online First]
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp5670

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Related research

Keywords: informal punishment; public prosecutors; certainty of punishment; general deterrence; panel data;

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Cited by:
  1. Entorf, Horst, 2012. "Certainty and Severity of Sanctions in Classical and Behavioral Models of Deterrence: A Survey," IZA Discussion Papers 6516, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).

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