Based on static analysis, a number of studies argue that forming a RTA is more likely to raise welfare if member countries are "natural trading partners," while other studies claim the opposite. This paper considers the argument from a dynamic viewpoint by examining the impact of trade with Japan, North America and the EU on technology diffusion and TFP in Korea, Mexico and Poland. Using industry-level data, we show that i) technology diffusion and productivity gains tend to be regional: Korea (Mexico) (Poland) benefits mainly from trade with Japan (North America) (the EU); and ii) the dynamic version of the "natural trading partners" hypothesis seems to hold for Korea and Mexico though not necessarily for Poland.
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Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number
1384.
Find related papers by JEL classification: F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order; Noneconomic International Organizations;; Economic Integration and Globalization: General F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies O39 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change - - - Other
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