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Is Digitalization Driving Domestic Inflation?

Author

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  • Mr. Balazs Csonto
  • Yuxuan Huang
  • Mr. Camilo E Tovar Mora

Abstract

This paper examines the extent to which digitalization—measured by a new proxy based on IP addresses allocations per country—has influenced inflation dynamics in a sample of 36 advanced and emerging economies over 2000-2017. Phillips curve estimates show that digitalization has a statistically significant negative effect on inflation in the short run. Its economic impact is not large but has increased since 2012 and mainly operates through a cost/competition channel. Principal components and cointegration analysis further suggest digitalization is a key driver of lower trend inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Balazs Csonto & Yuxuan Huang & Mr. Camilo E Tovar Mora, 2019. "Is Digitalization Driving Domestic Inflation?," IMF Working Papers 2019/271, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/271
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. David Hanrahan, 2021. "Digitalization as a Determinant of Tax Revenues in OECD Countries: A Static and Dynamic Panel Data Analysis," Athens Journal of Business & Economics, Athens Institute for Education and Research (ATINER), vol. 7(4), pages 321-348, October.
    2. Emilio Ocampo, 2020. "The Global Disinflation Puzzle. A Selective Review of the Theory and Evidence in an Historical Context," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 726, Universidad del CEMA.
    3. Yim, Sung Taek & Son, Jong Chil & Lee, Jiwon, 2022. "Spread of E-commerce, prices and inflation dynamics: Evidence from online price big data in Korea," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    4. Paul J.J. Welfens, 2020. "Doubts on the Role of Disturbance Variance in New Keynesian Models and Suggested Refinements," EIIW Discussion paper disbei275, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.

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