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The Interest Rate-Exchange Rate Nexus in the Asian Crisis Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Atish R. Ghosh
  • Ms. Gabriela Basurto

Abstract

Sharp exchange rate depreciations in the East Asian crisis countries (Indonesia, Korea, and Thailand) raised doubts about the efficacy of increasing interest rates to defend the currency. Using a standard monetary model of exchange rate determination, this paper shows that tighter monetary policy was in fact associated with an appreciation of the exchange rate. Moreover, there is little evidence of higher real interest rates contributing to a widening of the risk premium.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Atish R. Ghosh & Ms. Gabriela Basurto, 2000. "The Interest Rate-Exchange Rate Nexus in the Asian Crisis Countries," IMF Working Papers 2000/019, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2000/019
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Cipollini, Andrea & Demetriades, Panicos O., 2005. "Monetary policy and the exchange rate during the Asian crisis: identification through heteroscedasticity," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 39-53, February.
    2. Stanley Black & Charis Christofides & Alex Mourmouras, 2006. "Convertibility risk: the precautionary demand for foreign currency in a crisis," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 2(2), pages 141-165, March.
    3. Cho, Dongchul, 2003. "Monetary Policy During and After the Crisis in Korea," KDI Policy Studies 2003-01, Korea Development Institute (KDI).
    4. Jean-Pierre Allegret & Marie-Noëlle Calès, 2001. "Attaques spéculatives et crédibilité du régime de change. Quel arbitrage pour le policy-mix ?," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 52(2), pages 249-264.
    5. Lee, Ki Seong & Yoon, Seok, 2007. "Interrelationships and volatility of the financial asset prices under capital flows: The case of Korea," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 386-397, May.
    6. Fazelina Sahul Hamid, 2013. "The Effect of Reliance on International Funding on Banking Fragility: Evidence from East Asia," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 7(1), pages 29-60, February.
    7. Vincent Bouvatier, 2007. "Are International Interest Rate Differentials Driven by the Risk Premium? The Case of Asian Countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 5(6), pages 1-14.
    8. Ramkishen S. Rajan, 2007. "Managing new-style currency crises: the swan diagram approach revisited," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(5), pages 583-606.
    9. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:5:y:2007:i:6:p:1-14 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Mehta, Aashish & Sun, Wei, 2013. "Does Industry Affiliation Influence Wages? Evidence from Indonesia and the Asian Financial Crisis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 47-61.
    11. Masahiro Enya & Akira Kohsaka, 2004. "Monetary Transmissions Immediately after the Crisis in East Asia," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 04-05, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
    12. Boorman, Jack & Lane, Timothy & Schulze-Ghattas, Marianne & Bulir, Ales & Ghosh, Atish R. & Hamann, Javier & Mourmouras, Alex & Phillips, Steven, 2000. "Managing financial crises: the experience in East Asia," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 1-67, December.
    13. Chin, Lee & Habibullah, Muzafar Shah & Sheik Kyin, Tey, 2013. "Monetary Policy and Exchange Market Pressure in Malaysia," MPRA Paper 96862, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Mr. Alex Mourmouras & Mr. Stabley W. Black & Mr. Charalambos Christofides, 2001. "Convertibility Risk: The Precautionary Demand for Foreign Currency in a Crisis," IMF Working Papers 2001/210, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Roberto Benelli, 2003. "Do IMF-Supported Programs Boost Private Capital Inflows? the Role of Program Size and Policy Adjustment," IMF Working Papers 2003/231, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Gochoco-Bautista, Maria Socorro & Bautista, Carlos C., 2005. "Monetary policy and exchange market pressure: The case of the Philippines," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 153-168, March.
    17. Kohsaka, Akira, 2004. "A fundamental scope for regional financial cooperation in East Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(5), pages 911-937, October.

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