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Impact of Deposit Rate Deregulation in Hong Kong on the Market Value of Commercial Banks

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  • Simon H. Kwan

    (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco)

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    Abstract

    This paper examines the impact of deposit rate deregulation on the market value of banks in Hong Kong. We do not find that the release of the Consumer Council's Report "Are Hong Kong Depositors Fairly Treated?" in 1994 was associated with any significant stock market reaction, contrary to the hypothesis that banks had been extracting excess profits from depositors under the Interest Rate Rules ("IRR"). Even when the government decided to start deregulating time deposit interest rates, the stock market was indifferent to the announcement, further suggesting the lack of subsidy was incidental to the IRRs. The recent announcement of complete deregulation of the IRRs, however, was found to be associated with a significant positive stock market response. The findings suggest that IRRs deregulation would benefit, rather than hurt, bank earnings. Furthermore, large banks and banks with high growth rates, high net interest margins, and high liability costs are found to benefit more from deregulation.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research in its series Working Papers with number 102000.

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    Length: 18 pages
    Date of creation: Nov 2000
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:hkm:wpaper:102000

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    1. Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1985. "Using daily stock returns : The case of event studies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 3-31, March.
    2. George J. Stigler, 1971. "The Theory of Economic Regulation," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 2(1), pages 3-21, Spring.
    3. Jaffe, Jeffrey F, 1974. "Special Information and Insider Trading," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 47(3), pages 410-28, July.
    4. Dann, Larry Y & James, Christopher M, 1982. " An Analysis of the Impact of Deposit Rate Ceilings on the Market Values of Thrift Institutions," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 37(5), pages 1259-75, December.
    5. Jordan, William A, 1972. "Producer Protection, Prior Market Structure and the Effects of Government Regulation," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 15(1), pages 151-76, April.
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