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Successful inflation targeting in Mozambique despite vulnerability to internal and external shocks

Author

Listed:
  • Andersson, Per-Åke

    (Department of Economics, School of Business, Economics and Law, Göteborg University)

  • Sjö, Bo

    (Department of Economics, School of Business, Economics and Law, Göteborg University)

Abstract

Inflation has proven to be an important obstacle to successful economic adjustment in many countries. Despite both internal and external shocks to the economy, Mozambique has succeeded in controlling the inflation to gain high economic growth. This paper provides an econometric analysis of the dynamics behind the experience of Mozambique. Inflation is driven by both a purchasing power parity relation with South Africa and monetary factors. The result indicates that the country is using a crawling peg exchange rate regime.

Suggested Citation

  • Andersson, Per-Åke & Sjö, Bo, 2012. "Successful inflation targeting in Mozambique despite vulnerability to internal and external shocks," Working Papers in Economics 544, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:hhs:gunwpe:0544
    as

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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/2077/30502
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501, Decembrie.
    2. Mr. Shanaka J Peiris & Mr. Magnus Saxegaard, 2007. "An Estimated DSGE Model for Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 2007/282, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Carare, Alina & Stone, Mark R., 2006. "Inflation targeting regimes," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(5), pages 1297-1315, July.
    4. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    5. Mr. Mark R. Stone, 2003. "Inflation Targeting Lite," IMF Working Papers 2003/012, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation; purchasing power parity; money market; VAR model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General

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