The effectiveness of monetary policy: an assessment

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The effectiveness of monetary policy: an assessment

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Yi Wen

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Yi Wen

Abstract

When monetary policies are endogenous, the conventional VAR approach for detecting the effect of monetary policies is powerless. This paper proposes to test the implication of monetary policies along a different dimension. That implication is to exploit the policy induced exogeneity of endogenous variables that are the source of monetary non-neutrality. We illustrate the idea by constructing a new Keynesian sticky wage model with capital accumulation and then testing the implications of optimal monetary policies for nominal wages under both complete and incomplete information. Econometric test using post war US data suggests that the nominal wage is exogenous with respect to lagged macro variables. Such exogeneity is consistent with new Keynesian models in which the monetary authority pursues active monetary policy based on information with a lag.

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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis in its series Working Papers with number 2005-052.

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Date of creation: 2005
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2005-052

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

NEP-ALL-2005-09-29 (All new papers)
NEP-CBA-2005-09-29 (Central Banking)
NEP-MAC-2005-09-29 (Macroeconomics)
NEP-MON-2005-09-29 (Monetary Economics)

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Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1997. "Monetary Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence," NBER Working Papers 6254, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
- Clarida, Richard & Gali, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1997. "Monetary Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence," Working Papers 97-32, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
- Clarida, Richard & Galí, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1997. "Monetary Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 1750, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Clarida, Richard & Galí, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1998. "Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory," CEPR Discussion Papers 1908, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
- Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1998. "Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory," NBER Working Papers 6442, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Richard Clarida & Jordi Galí & Mark Gertler, 1997. "Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory," Economics Working Papers 350, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised May 1999. [Downloadable!]
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Other versions:
- Clarida, Richard & Galí, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," CEPR Discussion Papers 2139, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Other versions:
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- Michael D. Bordo & Christopher J. Erceg & Charles L. Evans, 1997. "Money, sticky wages, and the great depression," International Finance Discussion Papers 591, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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Other versions:
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