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Distribuição populacional e evolução do tamanho das cidades brasileiras: uma análise espacial do período 1920-2000

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  • Lorena Trindade
  • Alexandre Sartoris
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    Abstract

    Este artigo objetiva um exame mais detalhado da evolução da relação entre o tamanho das cidades brasileiras e sua distribuição populacional no período de 1920 a 2000. Para isso, utilizaremos dois tipos de métodos, um estático – que envolve um indicador de convergência baseado na Lei de Zipf – e outro dinâmico, que mostra, através de uma cadeia de Markov, movimentos nas posições relativas das cidades dentro da distribuição por tamanhos. Nas duas análises, verificamos uma persistente concentração populacional em um número pequeno de áreas. Os efeitos espaciais, considerados em ambas as análises, mostraram ter importante influência nos resultados obtidos.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Universidade de São Paulo, Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade de Ribeirão Preto in its series Working Papers with number 09_11.

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    Date of creation: 2009
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    Handle: RePEc:fea:wpaper:09_11

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    Related research

    Keywords: convergência; distribuição populacional; autocorrelação espacial; SUR espacial; probabilidade de transição;

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    1. Vernon Henderson & Duncan Black, 1999. "Spatial Evolution of Population and Industry in the United States," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(2), pages 321-327, May.
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