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Analysis on β and σ Convergences of East Asian Currencies

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  • OGAWA Eiji
  • YOSHIMI Taiyo

Abstract

This paper focuses on recent events which include the RMB reform in China and the global financial crisis to investigate statistically recent diverging trends among East Asian currencies. For the purpose, their weighted average value (Asian Monetary Unit: AMU) and their deviations (AMU Deviation Indicators) from benchmark levels are used to analyze both β and σ convergences of East Asian currencies. Our analytical results show that the monetary authority of China has still kept stabilizing the exchange rate of the Chinese yuan against only the US dollar even though it announced its adoption of a managed floating exchange rate system with reference to a currency. Analytical results on β and σ convergences show that deviations among the East Asian currencies have been diverging in recent years, especially after 2005. The widening deviations reflect not the RMB reform but recent international capital flows and the global financial crisis. In addition, it is important as its background that the monetary authorities of the countries are adopting a variety of exchange rate systems. In other words, a coordination failure in adopting exchange rate systems among these monetary authorities increases volatility and misalignment of intra-regional exchange rates in East Asia.

Suggested Citation

  • OGAWA Eiji & YOSHIMI Taiyo, 2009. "Analysis on β and σ Convergences of East Asian Currencies," Discussion papers 09018, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    • Handle: RePEc:eti:dpaper:09018
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    Cited by:

    1. Abhijit Sen Gupta, 2015. "Extent Of Exchange Rate Coordination In Asia," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 60(02), pages 1-25.
    2. Ogawa Eiji & Zhiqian Wang, 2013. "Amu Deviation Indicators Based On Purchasing Power Parity And Adjusted By Balassa–Samuelson Effect," Global Journal of Economics (GJE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(02), pages 1-22.
    3. Eiji Ogawa, 2010. "Regional Monetary Coordination in Asia after the Global Financial Crisis: Comparison in Regional Monetary Stability between ASEAN+3 and ASEAN+3+3," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 6(5), pages 837-858, June.
    4. OGAWA, Eiji & 小川, 英治 & WANG, Zhiqian, 2014. "How Did the Global Financial Crisis Misalign East Asian Currencies?," Working Paper Series G-1-8, Hitotsubashi University Center for Financial Research.
    5. OGAWA Eiji & Zhiqian WANG, 2012. "The AMU Deviation Indicators Based on the Purchasing Power Parity and Adjusted by the Balassa-Samuelson Effect," Discussion papers 12078, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    6. Pontines, Victor & You, Kefei, 2015. "Asian Currency Unit (ACU), deviation indicators and exchange rate coordination in East Asia: A panel-based convergence approach," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 42-55.
    7. OGAWA Eiji & Zhiqian WANG, 2013. "How Did the Global Financial Crisis Misalign East Asian Currencies?," Discussion papers 13096, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    8. Eiji Ogawa & Zhiqian Wang, 2012. "The AMU Deviation Indicators Based on the Purchasing Power Parity and Adjusted by the Balassa-Samuelson Effect," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-255, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.

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