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Parallel Lives: Birth, Childhood and Adolescent Influences on Career Paths

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Author Info
Duncan McVicar
Michael Anyadike-Danes

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Abstract

This paper uses sequence methods and cluster analysis to create a typology of career paths for a cohort of British 29 year olds born in 1970. There are clear ‘types’ identified by these techniques including several paths dominated by various forms of non-employment. These types are strongly correlated with individual characteristics and parental background factors observed at birth, age ten and age sixteen. By estimating a multinomial logit model of career types we show how policy makers might identify early those young people likely to experience long term non-employment as adults, enabling better targeted preventative policy intervention.

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Paper provided by Econometric Society in its series Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings with number 134.

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Date of creation: 11 Aug 2004
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:ausm04:134

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Keywords: careers cluster analysis optimal matching

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Cramer, J. S. & Ridder, G., 1991. "Pooling states in the multinomial logit model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2-3), pages 267-272, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Duncan McVicar & Michael Anyadike-Danes, 2002. "Predicting successful and unsuccessful transitions from school to work by using sequence methods," Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 165(2), pages 317-334. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. McVicar, D. & Anyadike-Danes, M., 2000. "Predicting Successful and Unsuccessful Transitions from School to Work Using Sequence Methods," Working Papers NIERC. 55, Economic Research Institute of Northern Ireland. [Downloadable!]
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