In Favour of a Fund to Stabilize Commodity Exporters' Income
AbstractCommodity prices are usually very slow to recover from adverse shocks. This is one of the reasons why it has proven so difficult either to smooth their effect or to stabilize them, and why it is sometimes argued that they should behave as if shocks were permanent. There is no reason however why countries should not find ways to protect themselves. This paper develops one practical idea on how this could be done. Our goal is not to stabilize prices, but to smooth the income of the producers. Countries, we assume, should get protection against deviation of commodity prices from a moving average of past prices. This avoids the pitfalls of past stabilization that attempted to stabilize around a single price and yet our scheme gives countries time to adjust to permanent shocks. Over a period of a 50 years time horizon, we simulate that the median cost would be worth about six months of exports.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 5550.
Date of creation: Mar 2006
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Other versions of this item:
- Daniel Cohen & Thibault Fally & Sébastien Villemot, 2007. "In Favour of a Fund to Stabilise Commodity Exporters' Income," OECD Development Centre Policy Insights 50, OECD Publishing.
- F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
- O13 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2006-04-08 (All new papers)
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