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GAMMA, a Simulation Model for Ageing, Pensions and Public Finances

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Author Info
Nick Draper ()
Alex Armstrong

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Abstract

To answer policy questions that have intergenerational implications, a computable simulation model should obey four conditions: it should incorporate long-term demographic developments, it should include a detailed modelling of the public sector, it should decompose the population into several generations and it should account for the behaviour of the various economic agents. This document describes and illustrates a model that meets all these conditions. It is an applied general equilibrium model that is based on generational accounting principles named GAMMA (Generational Accounting Model with Maximizing Agents).

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Paper provided by CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis in its series CPB Documents with number 147.

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Date of creation: Jun 2007
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Handle: RePEc:cpb:docmnt:147

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Related research
Keywords: Computable general equilibrium model; Ageing; Pensions and Public Finances;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Seshamani, Meena & Gray, Alastair M., 2004. "A longitudinal study of the effects of age and time to death on hospital costs," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 217-235, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Barro, Robert J, 1979. "On the Determination of the Public Debt," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 87(5), pages 940-71, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Richard Blundell & Thomas MaCurdy, 1998. "Labour supply: A review of alternative approaches," IFS Working Papers W98/18, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    Other versions:
  4. Hans Fehr & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1997. "Generational Accounting in General Equilibrium," NBER Working Papers 5090, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  5. Alan J. Auerbach & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1991. "Generational Accounts - A Meaningful Alternative to Deficit Accounting," NBER Working Papers 3589, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. A. Bovenberg & Harry Rele, 2000. "Generational Accounts for The Netherlands: An Update," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer, vol. 7(4), pages 411-430, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Casper van Ewijk & Nick Draper & Harry ter Rele & Ed Westerhout, 2006. "Ageing and the sustainability of Dutch public finances," CPB Special Publications 61, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  8. Michiel Evers & Ruud de Mooij & Daniel J. van Vuuren, 2005. "What Explains the Variation in Estimates of Labour Supply Elasticities?," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. Greenwood, Jeremy & Hercowitz, Zvi & Huffman, Gregory W, 1988. "Investment, Capacity Utilization, and the Real Business Cycle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(3), pages 402-17, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Jan Bonenkamp, 2005. "A comparison of catching-up premium rate models," CPB Memoranda 127, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  11. Svend E. Hougaard Jensen & Ulrik Nødgaard & Lars Haagen Pedersen, 2002. "Fiscal Sustainability and Generational Burden Sharing in Denmark," Nordic Journal of Political Economy, Nordic Journal of Political Economy, vol. 28, pages 43-60. [Downloadable!]
  12. Heijdra, Ben J, 1998. "Fiscal Policy Multipliers: The Role of Monopolistic Competition, Scale Economies, and Intertemporal Substitution in Labour Supply," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(3), pages 659-96, August.
  13. Haveman, Robert, 1994. "Should Generational Accounts Replace Public Budgets and Deficits?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 95-111, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Kingston, Geoffrey, 1991. "Should Marginal Tax Rates Be Equalized Through Time?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 106(3), pages 911-24, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  15. David Altig et al., 2001. "Simulating Fundamental Tax Reform in the United States," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(3), pages 574-595, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. AXEL BÖRSCH-SUPAN & ALEXANDER LUDWIG & JOACHIM WINTER, 2006. "Ageing, Pension Reform and Capital Flows: A Multi-Country Simulation Model," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 73(292), pages 625-658, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  17. Flavin, Marjorie A, 1981. "The Adjustment of Consumption to Changing Expectations about Future Income," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 89(5), pages 974-1009, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  18. Lans Bovenberg & Thijs Knaap, 2005. "Ageing, Funded Pensions and the Dutch Economy," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Alex Armstrong & Nick Draper & André Nibbelink & Ed Westerhout, 2007. "Fiscal Prefunding in Response to Demographic Uncertainty," CPB Discussion Papers 85, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  2. Alex Armstrong & Nick Draper & Ed Westerhout, 2008. "The impact of demographic uncertainty on public finances in the Netherlands," CPB Discussion Papers 104, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
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