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Ageing and the sustainability of Dutch public finances

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Author Info
Casper van Ewijk ()
Nick Draper ()
Harry ter Rele ()
Ed Westerhout ()

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Abstract

The ageing of the population jeopardises the sustainability of public finances in the Netherlands. The doubling of the ratio between the number of retirees and the number of workers destroys the balance between future public expenditure and tax revenues. Indeed, the increase in expenditure on public pensions and health and long-term care will outweigh the increase in tax revenues. Budgetary reforms are therefore necessary in order to avoid that future generations will have to raise taxes or economize on public expenditure.

Reforms in the field of social security of the last few years are a step in the right direction, but are insufficient. In particular, the decline of interest rates and the reduced wealth of pension funds have worsened the sustainability of public finances. The effects of reforms on the intergenerational balance are important for the question which further reforms are most attractive.

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File URL: http://www.cpb.nl/eng/pub/cpbreeksen/bijzonder/61/bijz61.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis in its series CPB Special Publications with number 61.

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Date of creation: Mar 2006
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Handle: RePEc:cpb:spcial:61

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Related research
Keywords: Ageing; public finances; intergenerational balance;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends and Forecasts

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Ed Westerhout & Frank Pellikaan, 2005. "Can we afford to live longer in better health?," CPB Documents 85, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  2. W. M. T. Westerhout, 2006. "Does Ageing Call for a Reform of the Health Care Sector?," CESifo Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 52(1), pages 1-31, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Nick Draper & Alex Armstrong, 2007. "GAMMA, a Simulation Model for Ageing, Pensions and Public Finances," CPB Documents 147, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  2. Koen Caminada & Kees Goudswaard, 2008. "Revenue Effects of Tax Facilities for Pension Savings," Atlantic Economic Journal, International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 36(2), pages 233-246, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Alex Armstrong & Nick Draper & André Nibbelink & Ed Westerhout, 2007. "Fiscal Prefunding in Response to Demographic Uncertainty," CPB Discussion Papers 85, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  4. Frits Bos, 2007. "The Dutch fiscal framework; history, current practice and the role of the CPB," CPB Documents 150, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-26.


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