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Stock return comovements and integration within the Latin American integrated market

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  • Carlos Castro

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  • Nini Johana Marin

    ()

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    Abstract

    Abstract: Financial integration has been pursued aggressively across the globe in the last fifty years; however, there is no conclusive evidence on the diversification gains (or losses) of such efforts. These gains (or losses) are related to the degree of comovements and synchronization among increasingly integrated global markets. We quantify the degree of comovements within the integrated Latin American market (MILA). We use dynamic correlation models to quantify comovements across securities as well as a direct integration measure. Our results show an increase in comovements when we look at the country indexes, however, the increase in the trend of correlation is previous to the institutional efforts to establish an integrated market in the region. On the other hand, when we look at sector indexes and an integration measure, we find a decreased in comovements among a representative sample of securities form the integrated market.

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    File URL: http://www.urosario.edu.co/economia/documentos/pdf/dt154/
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO in its series DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO with number 011082.

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    Length: 22
    Date of creation: 01 Apr 2014
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:col:000092:011082

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    Keywords: Comovements; correlation; market integration;

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

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    1. Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Ten Things You Should Know About DCC," Working Papers in Economics 13/16, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    2. Geert Bekaert & Robert J. Hodrick & Xiaoyan Zhang, 2005. "International Stock Return Comovements," NBER Working Papers 11906, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Lorenzo Cappiello & Robert F. Engle & Kevin Sheppard, 2006. "Asymmetric Dynamics in the Correlations of Global Equity and Bond Returns," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 4(4), pages 537-572.
    4. Chelley-Steeley, Patricia L., 2005. "Modeling equity market integration using smooth transition analysis: A study of Eastern European stock markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 818-831, September.
    5. Barras, L. & Isakov, D., 2001. "How to Diversify Internationally? A Comparison of Conditional and Unconditional Asset Allocation Methods," Papers 2001.07, Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales, Universite de Geneve-.
    6. Massimo Guidolin & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "International asset allocation under regime switching, skew, and kurtosis preferences," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(2), pages 889-935, April.
    7. Juliana Caicedo-llano & Catherine Bruneau, 2009. "Co-movements of international equity markets: a large-scale factor model approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(2), pages 1466-1482.
    8. Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert, 2002. "International Asset Allocation With Regime Shifts," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(4), pages 1137-1187.
    9. Das, Sanjiv Ranjan & Uppal, Raman, 2002. "Systemic Risk and International Portfolio Choice," CEPR Discussion Papers 3305, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Manolis Kavussanos & Stelios Marcoulis & Angelos Arkoulis, 2002. "Macroeconomic factors and international industry returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(12), pages 923-931.
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