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Optimum Currency Area Indices - How Close is the Czech Republic to the Eurozone?

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  • Lubos Komarek
  • Zdenek Cech
  • Roman Horvath

Abstract

In this paper we provide a survey of the optimum currency area theory, estimate the degree of the explanatory power of the optimum currency area criteria, and also calculate the optimum currency area index in the case of the Czech Republic. The results indicate that the traditional optimum currency area criteria to certain extent explain exchange rate variability. Our results may be interpreted as an attempt to assess the benefit-cost ratio of implementing a common currency for a pair of countries. Our results also suggest that from the point of view of the optimum currency area theory the costs of adopting the euro for the Czech Republic may be relatively low, at least in comparison with other EMU member countries. We conclude that if the European Monetary Union is sustainable, the accession of the Czech Republic should not change it.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Czech National Bank, Research Department in its series Working Papers with number 2003/10.

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Date of creation: Dec 2003
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Handle: RePEc:cnb:wpaper:2003/10

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Keywords: Convergence; EU/eurozone; exchange rate; optimum currency area theory; transition.;

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References

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  1. Bayoumi, Tamim & Eichengreen, Barry, 1996. "Operationalizing the Theory of Optimum Currency Areas," CEPR Discussion Papers 1484, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Cited by:
  1. Korhonen, Iikka, 2001. "Some empirical tests on the integration of economic activity between the Euro area and the accession countries," BOFIT Discussion Papers 9/2001, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
  2. Roman Horváth & Zuzana Kuèerová, 2005. "Real Exchange Rates and Optimum Currency Areas: Evidence from Developed Economies," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 55(5-6), pages 253-266, May.
  3. Horváth, Roman & Komárek, Luboš, 2003. "OPTIMUM CURRENCY AREA INDICES : EVIDENCE FROM THE 1990s," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 665, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
  4. Evzen Kocenda & Ali M. Kutan & M. Taner Yigit, 2005. "Pilgrims to Eurozone: How Far, How Fast," Departmental Working Papers 0501, Bilkent University, Department of Economics.

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