The Surprisingly Swift Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment
AbstractThis paper finds a link between the sharp drop in U.S. manufacturing employment beginning in 2001 and a change in U.S. trade policy that eliminated potential tariff increases on Chinese imports. Industries where the threat of tariff hikes declines the most experience more severe employment losses along with larger increases in the value of imports from China and the number of firms engaged in China-U.S. trade. These results are robust to other potential explanations of the employment loss, and we show that the U.S. employment trends differ from those in the EU, where there was no change in policy.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau in its series Working Papers with number 13-59.
Length: 55 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2013
Date of revision:
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2013-12-06 (All new papers)
- NEP-CNA-2013-12-06 (China)
- NEP-INT-2013-12-06 (International Trade)
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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Kiel Working Papers
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CEPR Discussion Papers
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Blog mentionsAs found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
- Prospects of tariff increases and manufacturing employment
by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2014-01-07 15:13:00
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