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A model free approach to the pricing of downside risk in argentinean stocks

Author

Listed:
  • José P. Dapena
  • Juan A. Serur
  • Julián R. Siri

Abstract

The return dynamics of Argentina's main stock index, the SP Mer.Val., show a high level of volatility, signaling a higher degree of downside risk. To hedge against that specific risk, investors could buy put options. However, the Argentinean capital markets lacks variety of hedging contracts. The basic availability of put options depends on the possibility of short selling the underlying security, i.e. transfer risk to a third party, something not properly developed in the domestic market. Since data processing power has geometrically increased in the last decades and some mathematic formulas that were helpful for calculation had been surpassed by data gathering and processing that helps to find a better estimate when necessary, in this paper we show the point calculating protection against downside risk in the Argentinean stock market, using real data and programming an algorithm to perform calculations instead of resorting the standard Black-Scholes-Merton formulae, by means of a model free approach to acknowledge the issue.

Suggested Citation

  • José P. Dapena & Juan A. Serur & Julián R. Siri, 2019. "A model free approach to the pricing of downside risk in argentinean stocks," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 703, Universidad del CEMA.
    • Handle: RePEc:cem:doctra:703
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. José P. Dapena & Julian R. Siri, 2015. "Index options realized returns distributions from passive investment strategies," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 580, Universidad del CEMA.
    2. José P. Dapena, 2014. "A short note on expected risk adjusted elasticity and consumer theory," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 558, Universidad del CEMA.
    3. José Pablo Dapena, 2006. "Volatility of GDP, macro applications and policy implications of real options for structure of capital Markets," CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo. 320, Universidad del CEMA.
    4. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A. & Rubinstein, Mark, 1979. "Option pricing: A simplified approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 229-263, September.
    5. Chauvet, Marcelle & Potter, Simon, 2000. "Coincident and leading indicators of the stock market," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 87-111, May.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset pricing; options pricing; insurance; capital markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • N2 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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