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The Dynamics of Household Travel Time Expenditures and Car Ownership Decisions

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  • Golob, Thomas F.
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    Abstract

    A dynamic (panel data) structural equations model is developed that links four dependent travel behavior variables at two points in time, one year apart. The four dependent variables are: car ownership, travel time per week by car, travel time by public transit, and travel time by nonmotorized modes. Exogenous variables include 13 household characteristics and variables accounting for period effects over the 1985 to 1987 time frame in the Netherlands. The model treats car ownership as ordered-response probit variables and all travel times as censored (tobit) continuous variables. The model accounts for serially-correlated errors and panel conditioning biases. Results are interpreted in terms of recommendations for forecasting procedures.

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    File URL: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/1676t0bp.pdf;origin=repeccitec
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by University of California Transportation Center in its series University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers with number qt1676t0bp.

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    Date of creation: 01 Jun 1990
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:cdl:uctcwp:qt1676t0bp

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    Keywords: Social and Behavioral Sciences;

    References

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    Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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    1. van Wissen, Leo J. & Golob, Thomas F., 1990. "Simultaneous Equation Systems Involving Binary Choice Variables," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt5t28k04n, University of California Transportation Center.
    2. Golob, Thomas F. & Van Wissen, Leo, 1989. "A Joint Household Travel Distance Generation And Car Ownership Model," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt72h4k912, University of California Transportation Center.
    3. Meurs, Henk & Van Wissen, Leo & Visser, Jacqueline, 1989. "Measurement Biases in Panel Data," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt00q1x266, University of California Transportation Center.
    4. Ray C. Fair, 1976. "A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 434, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    5. Amemiya, Takeshi, 1973. "Regression Analysis when the Dependent Variable is Truncated Normal," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(6), pages 997-1016, November.
    6. Golob, Thomas F. & Beckmann, Martin J. & Zahavi, Yacov, 1981. "A utility-theory travel demand model incorporating travel budgets," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 15(6), pages 375-389, December.
    7. van Wissen, Leo J., 1990. "Simultaneous Equation Systems Involving Binary Choice Variables," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt339562gx, University of California Transportation Center.
    8. Golob, Thomas F. & Van Wissen , Leo, 1989. "A Joint Household Travel Distance Generation and Car Ownership Model," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt16h8h2gh, University of California Transportation Center.
    9. Golob, Thomas F. & van Wissen, Leo, 1989. "A joint household travel distance generation and car ownership model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 23(6), pages 471-491, December.
    10. Meurs, Henk & Van Wissen, Leo & Visser, Jacqueline, 1989. "Measurement Biases in Panel Data," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt4095q216, University of California Transportation Center.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:
    1. Chen, Cynthia & Mokhtarian, Patricia, 2008. "A Review and Discussion of the Literature on Travel Time and Money Expenditures," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt51d696jh, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    2. Mokhtarian, Patricia L. & Chen, Cynthia, 2004. "TTB or not TTB, that is the question: a review and analysis of the empirical literature on travel time (and money) budgets," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 38(9-10), pages 643-675.
    3. Christy Collins & Arianne De Blaeij, 2005. "Trends in commuter and leisure travel in The Netherlands 1991-2001 - Mode choice and travel time," ERSA conference papers ersa05p615, European Regional Science Association.
    4. Das, J.W.M. & Toepoel, V. & Soest, A.H.O. van, 2007. "Can I use a Panel? Panel Conditioning and Attrition Bias in Panel Surveys," Discussion Paper 2007-56, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    5. Gerard Jong & Ryuichi Kitamura, 2009. "A review of household dynamic vehicle ownership models: holdings models versus transactions models," Transportation, Springer, vol. 36(6), pages 733-743, November.
    6. Golob, Thomas F., 2003. "Structural equation modeling for travel behavior research," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 1-25, January.
    7. Metin Senbil & Ryuichi Kitamura & Jamilah Mohamad, 2009. "Residential location, vehicle ownership and travel in Asia: a comparative analysis of Kei-Han-Shin and Kuala Lumpur metropolitan areas," Transportation, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 325-350, May.
    8. Cynthia Chen & Jason Chen, 2009. "What is responsible for the response lag of a significant change in discretionary time use: the built environment, family and social obligations, temporal constraints, or a psychological delay factor?," Transportation, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 27-46, January.
    9. Roorda, Matthew J. & Ruiz, Tomás, 2008. "Long- and short-term dynamics in activity scheduling: A structural equations approach," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 545-562, March.
    10. Dargay, Joyce M, 2001. "The effect of income on car ownership: evidence of asymmetry," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 807-821, November.
    11. Das, J.W.M. & Soest, A.H.O. van & Toepoel, V., 2011. "Nonparametric tests of panel conditioning and attrition bias in panel surveys," Open Access publications from Tilburg University urn:nbn:nl:ui:12-4334816, Tilburg University.
    12. Lu, Xuedong & Pas, Eric I., 1999. "Socio-demographics, activity participation and travel behavior," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 1-18, January.
    13. Yee, Julie L. & Niemeier, Debbie A., 1998. "Travel trends using the puget sound panel survey: a generalized estimating equations approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 21-34, January.
    14. Golob, Thomas F., 1996. "A Model of Household Demand for Activity Participation and Mobility," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt00g9770f, University of California Transportation Center.
    15. Kitamura, Ryuichi, 1990. "Panel Analysis in Transportation Planning: An Overview," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt86v0f7zh, University of California Transportation Center.
    16. Golob, Thomas F. & Kim, Seyoung & Ren, Weiping, 1996. "How households use different types of vehicles: A structural driver allocation and usage model," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 103-118, March.
    17. Karthik Srinivasan & P. Bhargavi, 2007. "Longer-term changes in mode choice decisions in Chennai: a comparison between cross-sectional and dynamic models," Transportation, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 355-374, May.
    18. Chen, Quizi, 2001. "An Exploration of Activity Scheduling and Rescheduling Processes," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt9kb4q6vt, University of California Transportation Center.
    19. Sharmeen, Fariya & Arentze, Theo & Timmermans, Harry, 2014. "An analysis of the dynamics of activity and travel needs in response to social network evolution and life-cycle events: A structural equation model," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 159-171.
    20. Dargay, Joyce & Hanly, Mark, 2007. "Volatility of car ownership, commuting mode and time in the UK," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 41(10), pages 934-948, December.
    21. Toepoel, V. & Das, J.W.M. & Soest, A.H.O. van, 2008. "Design Effects in Web Surveys: Comparing Trained and Fresh Respondents," Discussion Paper 2008-51, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    22. Bhat, Chandra R. & Pulugurta, Vamsi, 1998. "A comparison of two alternative behavioral choice mechanisms for household auto ownership decisions," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 61-75, January.
    23. Nolan, Anne, 2010. "A dynamic analysis of household car ownership," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 44(6), pages 446-455, July.
    24. Ferdous, Nazneen & Eluru, Naveen & Bhat, Chandra R. & Meloni, Italo, 2010. "A multivariate ordered-response model system for adults' weekday activity episode generation by activity purpose and social context," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 44(8-9), pages 922-943, September.

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