IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cbt/econwp/15-03.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Stock Selection with Principal Component Analysis

Author

Listed:

Abstract

We propose a stock selection method that is based on a variable selection method used with principal component analysis. We applied our method to stocks in the ASX200 and show that a portfolio of as little as 15 stocks can closely replicate the behaviour of the index. We show that the number of stocks required to form a diversified portfolio is not constant across time but varies with market conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Libin Yang & William Rea & Alethea Rea, 2015. "Stock Selection with Principal Component Analysis," Working Papers in Economics 15/03, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbt:econwp:15/03
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repec.canterbury.ac.nz/cbt/econwp/1503.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Driessen, Joost & Melenberg, Bertrand & Nijman, Theo, 2003. "Common factors in international bond returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 629-656, October.
    2. Dong-Hee Kim & Hawoong Jeong, 2005. "Systematic analysis of group identification in stock markets," Papers physics/0503076, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2005.
    3. John Y. Campbell & Martin Lettau & Burton G. Malkiel & Yexiao Xu, 2001. "Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(1), pages 1-43, February.
    4. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    5. John L. Evans & Stephen H. Archer, 1968. "Diversification And The Reduction Of Dispersion: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(5), pages 761-767, December.
    6. Billio, Monica & Getmansky, Mila & Lo, Andrew W. & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2012. "Econometric measures of connectedness and systemic risk in the finance and insurance sectors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(3), pages 535-559.
    7. Driessen, J.J.A.G. & Melenberg, B. & Nijman, T.E., 2003. "Common factors in international bond returns," Other publications TiSEM 06a83942-b625-4d3c-808c-a, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    8. Henry Kaiser, 1970. "A second generation little jiffy," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 35(4), pages 401-415, December.
    9. Jacob, Nancy L, 1974. "A Limited-Diversification Portfolio Selection Model for the Small Investor," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 29(3), pages 847-856, June.
    10. Statman, Meir, 1987. "How Many Stocks Make a Diversified Portfolio?," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(3), pages 353-363, September.
    11. Perignon, Christophe & Smith, Daniel R. & Villa, Christophe, 2007. "Why common factors in international bond returns are not so common," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 284-304, March.
    12. Benoit Mandelbrot, 2015. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 3, pages 39-78, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    13. Frahm, Gabriel & Wiechers, Christof, 2011. "On the diversification of portfolios of risky assets," Discussion Papers in Econometrics and Statistics 2/11, University of Cologne, Institute of Econometrics and Statistics.
    14. Daniel J. Fenn & Mason A. Porter & Stacy Williams & Mark McDonald & Neil F. Johnson & Nick S. Jones, 2010. "Temporal Evolution of Financial Market Correlations," Papers 1011.3225, arXiv.org, revised May 2011.
    15. Dale L. Domian & David A. Louton & Marie D. Racine, 2007. "Diversification in Portfolios of Individual Stocks: 100 Stocks Are Not Enough," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 42(4), pages 557-570, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Libin Yang & William Rea & Alethea Rea, 2017. "Financial Insights from the Last Few Components of a Stock Market PCA," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-12, July.
    2. Libin Yang & William Rea & Alethea Rea, 2017. "Impending Doom: The Loss of Diversification before a Crisis," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-13, November.
    3. Libin Yang & William Rea & Alethea Rea, 2015. "How much diversification potential is there in a single market? Evidence from the Australian Stock Exchange," Working Papers in Economics 15/07, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    4. Nadège Ribau-Peltre & Pascal Damel & An Lethi, 2018. "A methodology to avoid over-diversification of funds of equity funds An implementation case study for equity funds of funds in bull markets," Post-Print hal-03027770, HAL.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Haensly, Paul J., 2020. "Risk decomposition, estimation error, and naïve diversification," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    2. Libin Yang & William Rea & Alethea Rea, 2017. "Financial Insights from the Last Few Components of a Stock Market PCA," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-12, July.
    3. James, Nick & Menzies, Max & Gottwald, Georg A., 2022. "On financial market correlation structures and diversification benefits across and within equity sectors," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
    4. Ayub, Usman & Shah, Syed Zulfiqar Ali & Abbas, Qaisar, 2015. "Robust analysis for downside risk in portfolio management for a volatile stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 86-96.
    5. Libin Yang & William Rea & and Alethea Rea, 2015. "Identifying Highly Correlated Stocks Using the Last Few Principal Components," Papers 1512.03537, arXiv.org.
    6. James, Nick & Menzies, Max & Chin, Kevin, 2022. "Economic state classification and portfolio optimisation with application to stagflationary environments," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    7. Lončarski, Igor & Vidovič, Luka, 2019. "Sorting out the financials: Making economic sense out of statistical factors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 110-118.
    8. James, Nick & Chin, Kevin, 2022. "On the systemic nature of global inflation, its association with equity markets and financial portfolio implications," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 593(C).
    9. Libin Yang & William Rea & Alethea Rea, 2017. "Impending Doom: The Loss of Diversification before a Crisis," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-13, November.
    10. Libin Yang & William Rea & Alethea Rea, 2015. "How much diversification potential is there in a single market? Evidence from the Australian Stock Exchange," Working Papers in Economics 15/07, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    11. Azra Zaimovic & Adna Omanovic & Almira Arnaut-Berilo, 2021. "How Many Stocks Are Sufficient for Equity Portfolio Diversification? A Review of the Literature," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-30, November.
    12. Nick James & Kevin Chin, 2021. "On the systemic nature of global inflation, its association with equity markets and financial portfolio implications," Papers 2111.11022, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    13. Tienyu Hwang & Simon Gao & Heather Owen, 2012. "A two‐pass model study of the CAPM: evidence from the UK stock market," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 29(2), pages 89-104, June.
    14. James, Nick, 2021. "Dynamics, behaviours, and anomaly persistence in cryptocurrencies and equities surrounding COVID-19," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 570(C).
    15. Peter Sinka & Peter J. Zeitsch, 2022. "Hedge Effectiveness of the Credit Default Swap Indices: a Spectral Decomposition and Network Topology Analysis," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(4), pages 1375-1412, December.
    16. Nick James & Max Menzies & Kevin Chin, 2022. "Economic state classification and portfolio optimisation with application to stagflationary environments," Papers 2203.15911, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
    17. Alexeev, Vitali & Tapon, Francis, 2013. "Equity Portfolio Diversification: How Many Stocks are Enough? Evidence from Five Developed Markets," Working Papers 2013-16, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, revised 20 Nov 2013.
    18. Vitali Alexeev & Francis Tapon, 2014. "The number of stocks in your portfolio should be larger than you think: diversification evidence from five developed markets," Published Paper Series 2014-4, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    19. Eom, Cheoljun & Kaizoji, Taisei & Livan, Giacomo & Scalas, Enrico, 2021. "Limitations of portfolio diversification through fat tails of the return Distributions: Some empirical evidence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    20. Nick James & Max Menzies, 2023. "An exploration of the mathematical structure and behavioural biases of 21st century financial crises," Papers 2307.15402, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Principal component analysis; stock selection; diversification; stock portfolios;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cbt:econwp:15/03. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Albert Yee (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/decannz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.