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Gauging procyclicality and financial vulnerability in Asia through the BIS banking and financial statistics

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  • Stefan Avdjiev
  • Bat-el Berger
  • Hyun Song Shin

Abstract

We look back at past episodes of financial stress in Asia with a forward-looking perspective. We put ourselves in the shoes of a contemporary observer with the data at hand and ask what evidence was available on the systematic build-up of vulnerabilities. We reconstruct a graphical narrative of banking and financial developments at the time. Our exercise showcases the usefulness of the BIS international banking and financial statistics as a window on the financial system's procyclicality. We conclude with a real-time forward-looking survey of current financial vulnerabilities, focusing on the implications of the shift in the pattern of credit intermediation from banks to bond markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Avdjiev & Bat-el Berger & Hyun Song Shin, 2018. "Gauging procyclicality and financial vulnerability in Asia through the BIS banking and financial statistics," BIS Working Papers 735, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:735
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    3. Joerg Bibow, 2018. "Twenty Years of the German Euro Are More than Enough," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_911, Levy Economics Institute.
    4. Jörg Bibow, 2019. "20 years of the German euro are more than enough," Revista de Economía Crítica, Asociación de Economía Crítica, vol. 27, pages 32-46.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asian Financial Crisis; international bank lending; procyclicality; financial stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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