This paper proposes a framework to analyze the functioning of the inter-bank liquidity market and the occurrence of liquidity crises. The model relies on three key assumptions: (i) liquidity provisioning is not verifiable -it cannot be contracted upon-, (ii) banks face moral hazard when confronted with liquidity shocks-unobservable effort can help overcome the shock-, (iii) liquidity shocks are private information - they cannot be diversified away-. Under these assumptions, the equilibrium risk-adjusted return on liquidity provisioning increases with the aggregate equilibrium volume of ex ante liquidity provision. As a consequence, banks may provision too little liquidity compared with the social optimum. Within this framework we derive two main results. First inter-bank market collapse is an equilibrium. Second such an equilibrium is more likely when (i) the individual probability of the liquidity shock is lower, (ii) ex ante competition between banks on illiquid long term assets is larger.
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Paper provided by Banque de France in its series Documents de Travail with number
227.
Find related papers by JEL classification: D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information D86 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Economics of Contract Law
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Markus K. Brunnermeier & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2005.
"Predatory Trading,"
Journal of Finance,
American Finance Association, vol. 60(4), pages 1825-1863, 08.
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Other versions:
Markus K. Brunnermeier & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2004.
"Predatory Trading,"
NBER Working Papers
10755, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Markus K Brunnermeier & Lasse Heje Pederson, 2003.
"Predatory Trading,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp441, Financial Markets Group.
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Brunnermeier, Markus K & Pedersen, Lasse Heje, 2004.
"Predatory Trading,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4639, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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