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Impacto de las Transferencias Condicionadas sobre el Mercado de Crédito El caso de Familias en Acción en Colombia

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Abstract

Se estima un modelo de regresión discontinua para identificar el efecto del programa de transferencias condicionadas Familias en Acción sobre el acceso al crédito del sector financiero formal en los hogares beneficiarios del área urbana. Se encuentra que el acceso al crédito se incrementa en 3.5 pp, esto es, un 15% en relación a la probabilidad de tener crédito entre los hogares no beneficiarios del programa. El crédito en bancos se incrementa en 2.35 pp, esto es, un 11.7% en relación al grupo de control, y, los hogares beneficiarios tienen crédito con el sector financiero formal 0.44 trimestres más que los hogares no beneficiarios, esto es, 1.3 (14.2%) meses adicionales. Por género, serían las mujeres que viven en hogares beneficiarios del programa, quienes gracias al mismo tienen un acceso al crédito 5.3 pp superior, esto es, una probabilidad un 50% mayor de tener un crédito que las mujeres en hogares no beneficiarios del programa. Respecto a la tasa de interés pagada por los créditos con el sector financiero formal, los hogares beneficiarios pagan una tasa de interés 1.5 pp inferior a la que pagan los hogares no beneficiarios, esto es, una tasa 6% por debajo que la pagada por hogares no beneficiarios. No obstante lo anterior, el monto promedio de los créditos no tiene un diferencial importante entre hogares beneficiarios y no beneficiarios del programa FA en el área urbana.

Suggested Citation

  • Lina Cardona-Sosa & Carlos Medina & Jairo Nuñez Méndez, 2017. "Impacto de las Transferencias Condicionadas sobre el Mercado de Crédito El caso de Familias en Acción en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 995, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:995
    DOI: 10.32468/be.995
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    1. Francisco Fernández López, 2017. "Impacto de la informalidad laboral sobre el acceso a crédito formal," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, vol. 47(1 y 2), pages 169-204, December.
    2. Orazio Attanasio & Matthew Bird & Lina Cardona-Sosa & Pablo Lavado, 2019. "Freeing Financial Education via Tablets: Experimental Evidence from Colombia," NBER Working Papers 25929, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crédito; transferencias condicionadas; bancarización; educación.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity

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