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Long-term stock returns in Brazil: volatile equity returns for U.S.-like investors

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  • Eurilton Araújo
  • Ricardo D. Brito
  • Antônio Z. Sanvicente

Abstract

This paper tells the history of Brazilian stock market returns since the creation of the Ibovespa (the main Brazilian stock market index). From 1968 to 2019, the arithmetic mean return of the Brazilian stock market is 21.3% per year. The equity premium is 20.1% per year, with a huge standard deviation of 67%. Surprisingly, such numbers are compatible with investors’ risk aversions that accommodate the very different U.S. market evidence, reinforcing the belief that national investors are similar in nature. The equity premium has been higher in Brazil than in the U.S., but the much higher Brazilian volatility discourages heavier investments in stocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Eurilton Araújo & Ricardo D. Brito & Antônio Z. Sanvicente, 2020. "Long-term stock returns in Brazil: volatile equity returns for U.S.-like investors," Working Papers Series 525, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:bcb:wpaper:525
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    File URL: https://www.bcb.gov.br/content/publicacoes/WorkingPaperSeries/wps525.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ricardo D. Brito & Paulo Sergio O. Ribeiro & Antonio Z. Sanvicente, 2021. "The Substitute Model of Dividends at Work: a change in minority shareholder protection," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2021_25, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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