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Financial Development and Growth: A Positive, Monotonic Relationship?

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Author Info
Felix Rioja () (International Studies Program. Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University)
Neven Valev () (International Studies Program. Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University)

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Abstract

The relationship between financial development and economic growth has received a lot of attention in the economic literature in recent years. The consensus finding, which has also become widely accepted by policymakers, is that financial development has a positive, monotonic effect on growth. In this paper, we propose that the relationship between financial development and growth may not be uniform, but varies according to the level of financial development of the country. In particular, we hypothesize that there exist three distinct regions of financial development. In the low region (countries with very low levels of financial development), additional improvements in financial markets have an uncertain effect on growth. In the intermediate region, financial development has a large, positive effect on growth. Finally, in the high region, additional financial improvements have a positive, but smaller effect on growth. We examine a panel of 74 countries using GMM dynamic panel techniques and find support for the different regions.

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Paper provided by International Studies Program, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University in its series International Studies Program Working Paper Series, at AYSPS, GSU with number paper0207.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: 01 May 2002
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Handle: RePEc:ays:ispwps:paper0207

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Related research
Keywords: financial development; economic growth;

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  8. Levine, Ross & Zervos, Sara, 1998. "Stock Markets, Banks, and Economic Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(3), pages 537-58, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Greenwood, J. & Jovanovic, B., 1990. "Financial Development, Growth, And The Distribution Of Income," University of Western Ontario, The Centre for the Study of International Economic Relations Working Papers 9002, University of Western Ontario, The Centre for the Study of International Economic Relations.
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  13. Blundell, R. & Bond, S., 1995. "Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models," Economics Papers 104, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
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  17. Berthelemy, Jean-Claude & Varoudakis, Aristomene, 1996. "Economic Growth, Convergence Clubs, and the Role of Financial Development," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 48(2), pages 300-328, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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