IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1704.04524.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Model Uncertainty, Recalibration, and the Emergence of Delta-Vega Hedging

Author

Listed:
  • Sebastian Herrmann
  • Johannes Muhle-Karbe

Abstract

We study option pricing and hedging with uncertainty about a Black-Scholes reference model which is dynamically recalibrated to the market price of a liquidly traded vanilla option. For dynamic trading in the underlying asset and this vanilla option, delta-vega hedging is asymptotically optimal in the limit for small uncertainty aversion. The corresponding indifference price corrections are determined by the disparity between the vegas, gammas, vannas, and volgas of the non-traded and the liquidly traded options.

Suggested Citation

  • Sebastian Herrmann & Johannes Muhle-Karbe, 2017. "Model Uncertainty, Recalibration, and the Emergence of Delta-Vega Hedging," Papers 1704.04524, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1704.04524
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1704.04524
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fabio Maccheroni & Massimo Marinacci & Aldo Rustichini, 2006. "Ambiguity Aversion, Robustness, and the Variational Representation of Preferences," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(6), pages 1447-1498, November.
    2. Mark Davis & Jan Obloj, 2007. "Market completion using options," Papers 0710.2792, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2008.
    3. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J Sargent, 2014. "Robust Control and Model Uncertainty," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, chapter 5, pages 145-154, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Dylan Possamai & Guillaume Royer & Nizar Touzi, 2013. "On the Robust superhedging of measurable claims," Papers 1302.1850, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2013.
    5. Sebastian Herrmann & Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Frank Thomas Seifried, 2015. "Hedging with Small Uncertainty Aversion," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 15-19, Swiss Finance Institute, revised Apr 2017.
    6. Pascal J. Maenhout, 2004. "Robust Portfolio Rules and Asset Pricing," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 17(4), pages 951-983.
    7. Jan Kallsen & Johannes Muhle-Karbe, 2015. "Option Pricing And Hedging With Small Transaction Costs," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(4), pages 702-723, October.
    8. Ariel Neufeld & Marcel Nutz, 2012. "Superreplication under Volatility Uncertainty for Measurable Claims," Papers 1208.6486, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.
    9. Alexander Cox & Jan Obłój, 2011. "Robust pricing and hedging of double no-touch options," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 573-605, September.
    10. Marcel Nutz, 2014. "Superreplication under model uncertainty in discrete time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 791-803, October.
    11. Friedrich Hubalek & Jan Kallsen & Leszek Krawczyk, 2006. "Variance-optimal hedging for processes with stationary independent increments," Papers math/0607112, arXiv.org.
    12. David Hobson & Martin Klimmek, 2012. "Model-independent hedging strategies for variance swaps," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 611-649, October.
    13. Marc Romano & Nizar Touzi, 1997. "Contingent Claims and Market Completeness in a Stochastic Volatility Model," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(4), pages 399-412, October.
    14. Bruno Bouchard & Marcel Nutz, 2013. "Arbitrage and duality in nondominated discrete-time models," Papers 1305.6008, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2015.
    15. A. E. Whalley & P. Wilmott, 1997. "An Asymptotic Analysis of an Optimal Hedging Model for Option Pricing with Transaction Costs," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(3), pages 307-324, July.
    16. Mathias Beiglbock & Pierre Henry-Labord`ere & Friedrich Penkner, 2011. "Model-independent Bounds for Option Prices: A Mass Transport Approach," Papers 1106.5929, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2013.
    17. Ledoit, Olivier & Santa-Clara, Pedro & Yan, Shu, 2002. "Relative Pricing of Options with Stochastic Volatility," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt7jp8f42t, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    18. René Carmona & Sergey Nadtochiy, 2009. "Local volatility dynamic models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 1-48, January.
    19. Haydyn Brown & David Hobson & L. C. G. Rogers, 2001. "Robust Hedging of Barrier Options," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(3), pages 285-314, July.
    20. Peter Carr & Roger Lee, 2010. "Hedging variance options on continuous semimartingales," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 179-207, April.
    21. Sebastian Herrmann & Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Frank Thomas Seifried, 2017. "Hedging with small uncertainty aversion," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-64, January.
    22. Alfred Galichon & Pierre Henri-Labordère & Nizar Touzi, 2013. "A stochastic control approach to No-Arbitrage bounds given marginals, with an application to Lookback options," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/5rkqqmvrn4t, Sciences Po.
    23. David G. Hobson, 1998. "Robust hedging of the lookback option," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 2(4), pages 329-347.
    24. Jan Obłój & Frédérik Ulmer, 2012. "Performance Of Robust Hedges For Digital Double Barrier Options," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(01), pages 1-34.
    25. Jan Obłój & Frédérik Ulmer, 2012. "Performance Of Robust Hedges For Digital Double Barrier Options," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Matheus R Grasselli & Lane P Hughston (ed.), Finance at Fields, chapter 23, pages 521-554, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    26. Sara Biagini & Bruno Bouchard & Constantinos Kardaras & Marcel Nutz, 2017. "Robust Fundamental Theorem For Continuous Processes," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 963-987, October.
    27. RØdiger Frey, 2000. "Superreplication in stochastic volatility models and optimal stopping," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 161-187.
    28. B. Acciaio & M. Beiglböck & F. Penkner & W. Schachermayer, 2016. "A Model-Free Version Of The Fundamental Theorem Of Asset Pricing And The Super-Replication Theorem," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 233-251, April.
    29. Marco Avellaneda & Antonio ParAS, 1996. "Managing the volatility risk of portfolios of derivative securities: the Lagrangian uncertain volatility model," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 21-52.
    30. Jean Jacod & Philip Protter, 2010. "Risk-neutral compatibility with option prices," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 285-315, April.
    31. Martin Schweizer & Johannes Wissel, 2008. "Arbitrage-free market models for option prices: the multi-strike case," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 12(4), pages 469-505, October.
    32. Marcel Nutz, 2013. "Superreplication under Model Uncertainty in Discrete Time," Papers 1301.3227, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2014.
    33. Marco Avellaneda & Robert Buff, 1999. "Combinatorial implications of nonlinear uncertain volatility models: the case of barrier options," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1-18.
    34. T. J. Lyons, 1995. "Uncertain volatility and the risk-free synthesis of derivatives," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(2), pages 117-133.
    35. Mathias Beiglböck & Pierre Henry-Labordère & Friedrich Penkner, 2013. "Model-independent bounds for option prices—a mass transport approach," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 477-501, July.
    36. M. Avellaneda & A. Levy & A. ParAS, 1995. "Pricing and hedging derivative securities in markets with uncertain volatilities," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(2), pages 73-88.
    37. Hull, John & White, Alan, 1987. "Hedging the risks from writing foreign currency options," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 131-152, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Julio Backhoff-Veraguas & Daniel Bartl & Mathias Beiglböck & Manu Eder, 2020. "Adapted Wasserstein distances and stability in mathematical finance," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 601-632, July.
    2. Alexander M. G. Cox & Annemarie M. Grass, 2023. "Robust option pricing with volatility term structure -- An empirical study for variance options," Papers 2312.09201, arXiv.org.
    3. Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Marcel Nutz, 2018. "A risk-neutral equilibrium leading to uncertain volatility pricing," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 281-295, April.
    4. Ariel Neufeld & Matthew Ng Cheng En & Ying Zhang, 2024. "Robust SGLD algorithm for solving non-convex distributionally robust optimisation problems," Papers 2403.09532, arXiv.org.
    5. Daniel Bartl & Ariel Neufeld & Kyunghyun Park, 2023. "Sensitivity of robust optimization problems under drift and volatility uncertainty," Papers 2311.11248, arXiv.org.
    6. Daniel Bartl & Johannes Wiesel, 2022. "Sensitivity of multiperiod optimization problems in adapted Wasserstein distance," Papers 2208.05656, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    7. Julio Backhoff-Veraguas & Daniel Bartl & Mathias Beiglbock & Manu Eder, 2019. "Adapted Wasserstein Distances and Stability in Mathematical Finance," Papers 1901.07450, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sebastian Herrmann & Johannes Muhle-Karbe, 2017. "Model uncertainty, recalibration, and the emergence of delta–vega hedging," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 873-930, October.
    2. Sebastian Herrmann & Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Frank Thomas Seifried, 2017. "Hedging with small uncertainty aversion," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-64, January.
    3. Sebastian Herrmann & Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Frank Thomas Seifried, 2016. "Hedging with Small Uncertainty Aversion," Papers 1605.06429, arXiv.org.
    4. Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Marcel Nutz, 2018. "A risk-neutral equilibrium leading to uncertain volatility pricing," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 281-295, April.
    5. Zhaoxu Hou & Jan Obłój, 2018. "Robust pricing–hedging dualities in continuous time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 511-567, July.
    6. Sergey Nadtochiy & Jan Obłój, 2017. "Robust Trading Of Implied Skew," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(02), pages 1-41, March.
    7. Sergey Nadtochiy & Jan Obloj, 2016. "Robust Trading of Implied Skew," Papers 1611.05518, arXiv.org.
    8. Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Marcel Nutz, 2016. "A Risk-Neutral Equilibrium Leading to Uncertain Volatility Pricing," Papers 1612.09152, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2018.
    9. Huy N. Chau & Masaaki Fukasawa & Miklos Rasonyi, 2021. "Super-replication with transaction costs under model uncertainty for continuous processes," Papers 2102.02298, arXiv.org.
    10. Jan Obłój & Johannes Wiesel, 2021. "Distributionally robust portfolio maximization and marginal utility pricing in one period financial markets," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 1454-1493, October.
    11. Daniel Bartl & Michael Kupper & David J. Prömel & Ludovic Tangpi, 2019. "Duality for pathwise superhedging in continuous time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 697-728, July.
    12. Mathias Beiglbock & Alexander M. G. Cox & Martin Huesmann & Nicolas Perkowski & David J. Promel, 2015. "Pathwise super-replication via Vovk's outer measure," Papers 1504.03644, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2016.
    13. Mathias Beiglbock & Marcel Nutz & Florian Stebegg, 2019. "Fine Properties of the Optimal Skorokhod Embedding Problem," Papers 1903.03887, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
    14. Marcel Nutz & Florian Stebegg, 2016. "Canonical Supermartingale Couplings," Papers 1609.02867, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2017.
    15. Mathias Beiglböck & Alexander M. G. Cox & Martin Huesmann & Nicolas Perkowski & David J. Prömel, 2017. "Pathwise superreplication via Vovk’s outer measure," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 1141-1166, October.
    16. Mathias Beiglbock & Marcel Nutz & Nizar Touzi, 2015. "Complete Duality for Martingale Optimal Transport on the Line," Papers 1507.00671, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2016.
    17. Daniel Bartl & Michael Kupper & David J. Promel & Ludovic Tangpi, 2017. "Duality for pathwise superhedging in continuous time," Papers 1705.02933, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2019.
    18. Ariel Neufeld & Antonis Papapantoleon & Qikun Xiang, 2023. "Model-Free Bounds for Multi-Asset Options Using Option-Implied Information and Their Exact Computation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(4), pages 2051-2068, April.
    19. Jan Obloj & Johannes Wiesel, 2021. "Distributionally robust portfolio maximisation and marginal utility pricing in one period financial markets," Papers 2105.00935, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
    20. Erhan Bayraktar & Gu Wang, 2018. "Quantile Hedging in a semi-static market with model uncertainty," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 87(2), pages 197-227, April.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1704.04524. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.