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Are there positive synergies between agricultural export promotion and food security? Evidence from African economies

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  • Aragie, Emerta Asaminew
  • Balie, Jean
  • Ferrari, E.,
  • McDonald, Scott
  • Morales Opazo, Cristian
  • Pauw, Karl

Abstract

Despite the high food price crisis of 2008 and 2012, most governments in developing countries continue to support an open trade stance with the rest of the world and promote agricultural exports. However, there is scarce evidence on the synergetic effects of promoting agricultural export on domestic food security, and more particularly on the distributional effects of such policies on food access by households. This study uses a micro-macro modelling approach to examine the impacts of enhanced agricultural export orientation on the four dimensions of food security in three structurally food insecure African economies: Ethiopia, Kenya and Uganda. Our findings suggest that agro-export promotion is likely to negatively affect staple food consumption by urban households while gains are observed for rural households. These effects are stronger for Ethiopia and Kenya. We also find that risks associated with international commodity price and productivity failures can further deteriorate access to food in countries implementing agricultural export promotion policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Aragie, Emerta Asaminew & Balie, Jean & Ferrari, E., & McDonald, Scott & Morales Opazo, Cristian & Pauw, Karl, 2017. "Are there positive synergies between agricultural export promotion and food security? Evidence from African economies," Conference papers 332898, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:332898
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Boulanger, Pierre & Dudu, Hasan & Ferrari, Emanuele & Mainar, Alfredo & Proietti, Ilaria, 2016. "Are input policies effective to enhance food security in Kenya? A CGE Analysis," 2016 Fifth International Conference, September 23-26, 2016, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 246954, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    2. Stephen M. Miller & Mukti P. Upadhyay, 2002. "Total Factor Productivity, Human Capital and Outward Orientation: Differences by Stage of Ddevelopment and Geographic Regions," Working papers 2002-33, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    3. Govereh, Jones & Jayne, T. S., 2003. "Cash cropping and food crop productivity: synergies or trade-offs?," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 28(1), pages 39-50, January.
    4. Anwer, Muhammad Sarfraz & Sampath, Rajan K., 1997. "Exports and Economic Growth," 1997 Annual Meeting, July 13-16, 1997, Reno\ Sparks, Nevada 35938, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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