IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/iaae18/277506.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Evaluation of the Economic Effect of Climate Change on Rice Production in Japan: The Case of Koshihikari

Author

Listed:
  • Nishihara, Y.
  • Takahashi, D.
  • Fukui, S.
  • Yoshida, R.
  • Tamaki, E.

Abstract

Climate change threatens global food security and farm management by affecting the quantity and quality of food. Our purpose is to accurately predict the effect of climate change on rice production in Japan. To estimate the rice quantity and quality under the future climate conditions, we simulated rice growth and quality models by three different scenarios of greenhouse gas (GHG) emission. For assessing the economic impact of climate change, we exchanged the results of rice yield and quality to the price. We focus on Kosihikari, the most popular cultivar among consumers and widely produced in Japanese rice farming, although being vulnerable to heat stress. The estimated results provide two insights. First, an increase in the quantity of rice yield due to climate change has a stronger economic impact than the decrease in quality even under the future climate conditions scenario with the lowest GHG-emission. Second, the impact between eastern and western Japan is different. In eastern Japan, the rice yield would increase while in western Japan, quality would deteriorate. This means the Japanese will be faced with an oversupply of rice, and suggests that rice farmers in western Japan will be obliged to adopt new strategies to improve revenue. Acknowledgement :

Suggested Citation

  • Nishihara, Y. & Takahashi, D. & Fukui, S. & Yoshida, R. & Tamaki, E., 2018. "Evaluation of the Economic Effect of Climate Change on Rice Production in Japan: The Case of Koshihikari," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277506, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae18:277506
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.277506
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/277506/files/1275.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.277506?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marshall Burke & Kyle Emerick, 2016. "Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from US Agriculture," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 8(3), pages 106-140, August.
    2. Kentaro Kawasaki & Shinsuke Uchida, 2016. "Quality Matters More Than Quantity: Asymmetric Temperature Effects on Crop Yield and Quality Grade," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 98(4), pages 1195-1209.
    3. Rane, Jagadish & Nagarajan, Shantha, 2004. "High temperature index--for field evaluation of heat tolerance in wheat varieties," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 243-255, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Timothy Neal & Michael Keane, 2018. "The Impact of Climate Change on U.S. Agriculture: The Roles of Adaptation Techniques and Emissions Reductions," Discussion Papers 2018-08, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    2. Xun Su & Minpeng Chen, 2022. "Econometric Approaches That Consider Farmers’ Adaptation in Estimating the Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-23, October.
    3. Pierre Mérel & Matthew Gammans, 2021. "Climate Econometrics: Can the Panel Approach Account for Long‐Run Adaptation?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(4), pages 1207-1238, August.
    4. Michael Keane & Timothy Neal, 2017. "The Impact of Climate Change on U.S. Agriculture: New Evidence on the Role of Heterogeneity and Adaptation," Economics Papers 2017-W03, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    5. Michael Keane & Timothy Neal, 2020. "Comparing deep neural network and econometric approaches to predicting the impact of climate change on agricultural yield," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 23(3), pages 59-80.
    6. Amare, Mulubrhan & Balana, Bedru, 2023. "Climate change, income sources, crop mix, and input use decisions: Evidence from Nigeria," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    7. Xiaomeng Cui & Wei Xie, 2022. "Adapting Agriculture to Climate Change through Growing Season Adjustments: Evidence from Corn in China," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 104(1), pages 249-272, January.
    8. Kan, Iddo & Reznik, Ami & Kaminski, Jonathan & Kimhi, Ayal, 2023. "The impacts of climate change on cropland allocation, crop production, output prices and social welfare in Israel: A structural econometric framework," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    9. Noah Miller & Jesse Tack & Jason Bergtold, 2021. "The Impacts of Warming Temperatures on US Sorghum Yields and the Potential for Adaptation," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(5), pages 1742-1758, October.
    10. Kimhi, A., 2018. "Integrated Micro-Macro Structural Econometric Framework for Assessing Climate-Change Impacts on Agricultural Production and Food Markets," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 276972, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    11. Ariel Ortiz-Bobea, 2021. "Climate, Agriculture and Food," Papers 2105.12044, arXiv.org.
    12. Lé Mathias, 2022. "The adaptation of economies to climate change: lessons from the economic research [L’adaptation des économies au changement climatique : les enseignements tirés de la recherche économique]," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 239.
    13. Yayun Ren & Jian Yu & Guanglai Zhang & Chang Zhang & Wenmei Liao, 2023. "The Short- and Long-Run Impacts of Air Pollution on Human Health: New Evidence from China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-23, January.
    14. Stefano Gagliarducci & M. Daniele Paserman & Eleonora Patacchini, 2019. "Hurricanes, Climate Change Policies and Electoral Accountability," EIEF Working Papers Series 1907, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised May 2019.
    15. Daniel Cooley & Steven M. Smith, 2022. "Center Pivot Irrigation Systems as a Form of Drought Risk Mitigation in Humid Regions," NBER Chapters, in: American Agriculture, Water Resources, and Climate Change, pages 135-171, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Hsing-Hsiang Huang & Michael R. Moore, 2018. "Farming under Weather Risk: Adaptation, Moral Hazard, and Selection on Moral Hazard," NBER Chapters, in: Agricultural Productivity and Producer Behavior, pages 77-124, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Hu, Juncheng, 2021. "Do facilitation payments affect earnings management? Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    18. Yu, Jisang & Villoria, Nelson B. & Hendricks, Nathan P., 2019. "The Incidence of Foreign Market Accessibility on Farmland Rental Rates," 2019: Recent Advances in Applied General Equilibrium Modeling: Relevance and Application to Agricultural Trade Analysis, December 8-10, 2019, Washington, DC 339333, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    19. Ji, Xinde & Cobourn, Kelly M. & Weng, Weizhe, 2018. "The Effect of Climate Change on Irrigated Agriculture: Water-Temperature Interactions and Adaptation in the Western U.S," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274306, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    20. Cristina Cattaneo & Emanuele Massetti, 2019. "Does Harmful Climate Increase Or Decrease Migration? Evidence From Rural Households In Nigeria," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(04), pages 1-36, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Environmental Economics and Policy;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:iaae18:277506. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iaaeeea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.