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Challenges of Incorporating EU Enlargement and CAP Reform in the GOLD Model Framework

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  • Binfield, Julian
  • Meyers, William H.
  • Westhoff, Patrick

Abstract

There cannot have been many circumstances that have challenged the modeller of agricultural markets to the extent that the developments in the EU in recent years have. The enlargement of the EU involving a large number of countries, with important agricultural sectors, many emerging from a volatile transition from centrally planning, raises many issues. Moreover this is occurring at a time of radical reform of the CAP, with the substantial decoupling of payments, an area that has attracted some research but provides little concrete guidance for sector level modellers. In this paper the challenges of each of these developments are outlined and their importance to the sector addressed. Some strategies in dealing with the issues and the impact on the model results are evaluated.

Suggested Citation

  • Binfield, Julian & Meyers, William H. & Westhoff, Patrick, 2005. "Challenges of Incorporating EU Enlargement and CAP Reform in the GOLD Model Framework," 89th Seminar, February 2-5, 2005, Parma, Italy 231835, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae89:231835
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.231835
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sean A. Cahill, 1997. "Calculating The Rate Of Decoupling For Crops Under Cap/Oilseeds Reform," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(1‐3), pages 349-378, January.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Ivanov, Bozhidar & Sokolova, Emilia, 2014. "Modelling of cereal and oilseed crop production in Bulgaria in the context of policy changes," Studies in Agricultural Economics, Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, vol. 116(1), pages 1-7, April.
    3. Borresch, Rene & Kavallari, Aikaterini & Schmitz, P. Michael, 2005. "CAP Reform and the Mediterranean EU-Member States," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24607, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Balamou, Eudokia & Pouliaikas, Kostas & Roberts, Deborah & Psaltopoulos, Demetrios, 2008. "Modeling The Rural-Urban Effects Of Changes In Agricultural Policies: A Bi-Regional Cge Analysis Of Two Case Study Regions," 107th Seminar, January 30-February 1, 2008, Sevilla, Spain 6651, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    5. Breisinger, Clemens, 2006. "Roads - A way out of poverty? A two region, general equilibrium model for Vietnam," Conference papers 331478, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    6. Gohin, Alexandre, 2006. "Assessing the 2003 CAP Reform: Sensitivity to the Decoupling of Agenda 2000 Direct Payments," Working Papers 18868, TRADEAG - Agricultural Trade Agreements.
    7. Alexandre Gohin, 2005. "Assessing the impacts of the 2003 CAP mid term review : how sensitive are they to the assumed production responsiveness to Agenda 2000 direct payments ?," Post-Print hal-01937085, HAL.
    8. Salamon, Petra, 2005. "How to Derive Market Impacts of the Luxembourg Agreement on the German Beef Market - A Synthetic Uniform Model versus an Econometric Country Specific Model," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24570, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    9. McDonald, Scott & Thierfelder, Karen, 2006. "The Doha Development Agenda and Africa: Taking Armington Seriously," Conference papers 331483, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

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