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A Model of Grains Prices with Application to the Impact of Biofuels

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  • Gilbert, Christopher L.

Abstract

The paper reports preliminary results from an econometric model of world grains markets. The model is used to address the source of shocks (demand or supply?), the scale of their price impact (greater for corn than wheat) and the price impact of the growth of the use of corn as a biofuel feedstock (substantial for corn, less so for wheat). We also ask whether it makes sense to think of grains as a single composite commodity or whether idiosyncratic crop-specific factors remain important.

Suggested Citation

  • Gilbert, Christopher L., 2018. "A Model of Grains Prices with Application to the Impact of Biofuels," 92nd Annual Conference, April 16-18, 2018, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 273492, Agricultural Economics Society.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aesc18:273492
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.273492
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    7. Philip Abbott, 2014. "Biofuels, Binding Constraints, and Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Food Price Volatility, pages 91-131, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Wright, Brian, 2014. "Global Biofuels: Key to the Puzzle of Grain Market Behavior," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt11715438, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
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