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Decoupled Direct Payments Under Base Acreage and Yield Updating Uncertainty: An Investigation of Agricultural Chemical Use

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  • Peckham, Janet G.
  • Kropp, Jaclyn D.

Abstract

Decoupled payments were thought to have minimal impacts on current production decisions and input use. However, the literature has identified several mechanisms through which decoupled payments become coupled. We analyze the effects of uncertainty regarding future policy changes on farm-level production decisions and input use, focusing on farmers’ expectations of base acreage and yield updating. Using farm-level data, we find positive relationships between both decoupled and other government payments and real per acre expenditures on agricultural chemicals. Furthermore, there is evidence that decoupled payments may affect the intensive margin more than other government payments.

Suggested Citation

  • Peckham, Janet G. & Kropp, Jaclyn D., 2010. "Decoupled Direct Payments Under Base Acreage and Yield Updating Uncertainty: An Investigation of Agricultural Chemical Use," 2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado 61214, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea10:61214
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.61214
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Harry de Gorter & David R. Just & Jaclyn D. Kropp, 2008. "Cross-subsidization Due to Inframarginal Support in Agriculture: A General Theory and Empirical Evidence," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 90(1), pages 42-54.
    2. Bharat Ramaswami, 1992. "Production Risk and Optimal Input Decisions," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 74(4), pages 860-869.
    3. David A. Hennessy, 1998. "The Production Effects of Agricultural Income Support Policies under Uncertainty," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 80(1), pages 46-57.
    4. John K. Horowitz & Erik Lichtenberg, 1993. "Insurance, Moral Hazard, and Chemical Use in Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 75(4), pages 926-935.
    5. Miranowski, John & Orazem, Peter, 1994. "A Dynamic Model of Acreage Allocation with General and Crop-Specific Capital," Staff General Research Papers Archive 10695, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    6. Peter F. Orazem & John A. Miranowski, 1994. "A Dynamic Model of Acreage Allocation with General and Crop-Specific Soil Capital," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 76(3), pages 385-395.
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