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Planting Decisions And Uncertain Consumer Acceptance Of Genetically Modified Crop Varieties

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  • Saak, Alexander E.
  • Hennessy, David A.

Abstract

There exists much uncertainty about consumer attitudes towards genetically modified foods. If it happens that sufficient (insufficient) acres are planted under non-modified seed to meet post-harvest demand, then a price premium will not (will) emerge for the non-modified varieties. A non-linearity originates in the fact that a price premium may be supported. This non-linearity interacts with the extent of demand uncertainty to determine equilibrium varietal plantings and the probability that post-harvest varietal prices will differ. Also, as planting approaches signals will be received by growers about the nature of demand they will be planting into. We show how the non-linearity affects the order on the types of signals that risk-neutral growers will prefer to receive.

Suggested Citation

  • Saak, Alexander E. & Hennessy, David A., 2001. "Planting Decisions And Uncertain Consumer Acceptance Of Genetically Modified Crop Varieties," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20581, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea01:20581
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.20581
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Durbach, Ian, 2009. "On the estimation of a satisficing model of choice using stochastic multicriteria acceptability analysis," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 497-509, June.
    2. Saak, Alexander E., 2003. "Identity Preservation And False Non-Gmo Labeling In The Food Supply Chain," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22182, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. repec:dgr:rugsom:05f12 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Toolsema, L., 2005. "Competition with mandatory labeling of genetically modified products," Research Report 05F12, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    5. Ambec, Stefan & Langinier, Corinne & Marcoul, Phillipe, 2011. "Spatial Efficiency of Genetically Modified and Organic Crops," Working Papers 2011-11, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
    6. Ganiere, Pierre & Chern, Wen S., 2004. "Consumer Acceptance Of Genetically Modified Foods: A Profile Of American Consumers," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 19972, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Toolsema, Linda, 2005. "Competition with mandatory labeling of genetically modified products," Research Report 05C12, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    8. repec:dgr:rugsom:05c12 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Ganiere, Pierre & Chern, Wen S. & Hahn, David E., 2004. "Who Are Proponents And Opponents Of Genetically Modified Foods In The United States?," Working Papers 28315, Ohio State University, Department of Agricultural, Environmental and Development Economics.
    10. Craig F. Berning & Brian E. Roe, 2017. "Assessing the National Bioengineered Food Disclosure Standard of 2016: Can Americans Access Electronic Disclosure Information?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-9, May.
    11. John C. Bernard & John D. Pesek, Jr. & Chunbo Fan, 2004. "Delaware farmers' adoption of GE soybeans in a time of uncertain U.S. adoption," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(1), pages 81-94.

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