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Solving non-linear dynamic models (more) efficiently: application to a simple monetary policy model

Author

Listed:
  • Shalva Mkhatrishvili

    (Head of Macroeconomic Research Division, National Bank of Georgia)

  • Douglas Laxton

    (NOVA School of Business and Economics, Saddle Point Research, The Better Policy Project)

  • Davit Tutberidze

    (Macroeconomic Research Division, National Bank of Georgia)

  • Tamta Sopromadze

    (Macroeconomic Research Division, National Bank of Georgia)

  • Saba Metreveli

    (Macroeconomic Research Division, National Bank of Georgia)

  • Lasha Arevadze

    (Macroeconomic Research Division, National Bank of Georgia)

  • Tamar Mdivnishvili

    (Macroeconomic Research Division, National Bank of Georgia)

  • Giorgi Tsutskiridze

    (Macroeconomic Research Division, National Bank of Georgia)

Abstract

There has been an increased acceptance of non-linear linkages being the major driver of the most pronounced phases of business and financial cycles. However, modelling these non-linear phenomena has been a challenge, since existing solutions methods are either efficient but not able to accurately capture non-linear dynamics (e.g. linear methods), or accurate but quite resource-intensive (e.g. stacked system or stochastic Extended Path). This paper proposes two new solution approaches that try to be accurate enough and less costly. Moreover, one of those methods lets us do Kalman filtering on non-linear models in a non-linear way, which is also important for this kind of models, in general, to be more policy-relevant. Impulse responses, simulations and Kalman filtering exercises show the advantages of those new approaches when applied to a simple, but strongly non-linear, monetary policy model.

Suggested Citation

  • Shalva Mkhatrishvili & Douglas Laxton & Davit Tutberidze & Tamta Sopromadze & Saba Metreveli & Lasha Arevadze & Tamar Mdivnishvili & Giorgi Tsutskiridze, 2019. "Solving non-linear dynamic models (more) efficiently: application to a simple monetary policy model," NBG Working Papers 01/2019, National Bank of Georgia.
  • Handle: RePEc:aez:wpaper:2019-01
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Non-linear dynamic models; Solution methods; Monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C60 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - General
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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