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Economic impacts of climate change on two Mexican coastal fisheries: Implications for food security

Author

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  • Aguilar Ibarra, Alonso
  • Sánchez Vargas, Armando
  • Martínez López, Benjamín

Abstract

This paper has a twofold objective: First, to estimate the changes in landings value by 2030 for two Mexican coastal fisheries, specifically shrimp and sardine fisheries, as a consequence of climate change; and second, to discuss the implications of such impacts for food security. A dynamic panel model was used for the Mexican fisheries sector, with data from 1990 through 2009. The results suggest that shrimp production will be negatively affected, while in contrast, the sardine fishery is expected to benefit from the increase in temperature. Most losses/gains would be observed in the NW Mexican Pacific, where the fishing sector has an important role in the local economy, representing a risk to food security in both direct and indirect ways.

Suggested Citation

  • Aguilar Ibarra, Alonso & Sánchez Vargas, Armando & Martínez López, Benjamín, 2013. "Economic impacts of climate change on two Mexican coastal fisheries: Implications for food security," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-38.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifweej:201336
    DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2013-36
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate change; crop production; scenarios; food security; futures; modeling; monetary estimation; climate change; Mexico; shrimp fishery; sardine fishery; food security;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • Q22 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Fishery
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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