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Fertility Projections in a European Context: A Survey of Current Practices among Statistical Agencies

Author

Listed:
  • Gleditsch Rebecca Folkman
  • Syse Astri
  • Thomas Michael J.

    (Statistics Norway, Department of Research, PO Box 2633 St. Hanshaugen, N-0131Oslo, Norway.)

Abstract

Projection studies have often focused on mortality and, more recently, migration. Fertility is less studied, although even small changes can have significant repercussions for the size and age structure of future populations. Across Europe, there is no consensus on how fertility is best projected. In this article, we identify different approaches used to project fertility among statistical agencies in Europe and provide an assessment of the different approaches according to the producers themselves.

Suggested Citation

  • Gleditsch Rebecca Folkman & Syse Astri & Thomas Michael J., 2021. "Fertility Projections in a European Context: A Survey of Current Practices among Statistical Agencies," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 37(3), pages 547-568, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:offsta:v:37:y:2021:i:3:p:547-568:n:7
    DOI: 10.2478/jos-2021-0025
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    References listed on IDEAS

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