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The Case of the Negative Nominal Interest Rates: New Estimates of the Term Structure of Interest Rates during the Great Depression Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Cecchetti, Stephen G
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Throughout the 1930s and early 1940s, U.S. Treasury bonds and notes appeared to have negative nominal yields as they approached maturity. But negative nominal interest rates are impossible in a world in which one can always hold cash. The resolution to this puzzle is that Treasury securities, in addition to making coupon payments, gave the owner the right to buy a new security on a future date. This paper describes the institutional environment that led to the apparent negative nominal interest rates; develops a method for valuing the "exchange privilege"; and computes accurate measures of the yield to the coupon-bearing component of these composite bond/options. Copyright 1988 by University of Chicago Press.
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Article provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Journal of Political Economy .
Volume (Year): 96 (1988)
Issue (Month): 6 (December)
Pages: 1111-41
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Handle: RePEc:ucp:jpolec:v:96:y:1988:i:6:p:1111-41Contact details of provider: Postal: The University of Chicago Press, Journals Division, P.O. Box 37005 Chicago, IL 60637 Fax: (773) 753-0811 Email: Web page: http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/JPE/home.html
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References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: McCulloch, J Huston, 1971.
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Brown, Stephen J & Dybvig, Philip H, 1986.
" The Empirical Implications of the Cox, Ingersoll, Ross Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates ,"
Journal of Finance ,
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Bernanke, Ben S, 1983.
"Nonmonetary Effects of the Financial Crisis in Propagation of the Great Depression ,"
American Economic Review ,
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Other versions: Cox, John C & Ingersoll, Jonathan E, Jr & Ross, Stephen A, 1985.
"A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 53(2), pages 385-407, March.
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Hamilton, James D., 1987.
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Journal of Monetary Economics ,
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Shea, Gary S, 1985.
" Interest Rate Term Structure Estimation with Exponential Splines: A Note ,"
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Mankiw, N Gregory & Miron, Jeffrey A, 1986.
"The Changing Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates ,"
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MIT Press, vol. 101(2), pages 211-28, May.
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