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The Effects of Shock Size and Type on Labor-Contract Duration

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Author Info
Wallace, Frederick H

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Abstract

Empirical studies of the relation between uncertainty and the length of union-firm contracts have focused on the effects of inflation, money-supply, or industry-specific uncertainty. This article describes two extensions of previous work. First, real, aggregate uncertainty arising from oil shocks is incorporated into a contract-duration model. Oil shocks significantly affect contract length in seven of 21 U.S. manufacturing industries. Second, the model is used to test whether the duration of reopenable bargains is positively related to uncertainty associated with large shocks, as has been described in Danziger. The evidence indicates some qualified support for this proposition. Copyright 2001 by University of Chicago Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by University of Chicago Press in its journal Journal of Labor Economics.

Volume (Year): 19 (2001)
Issue (Month): 3 (July)
Pages: 658-81
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Handle: RePEc:ucp:jlabec:v:19:y:2001:i:3:p:658-81

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  1. Robert Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2000. "Uncertainty and Labor Contract Durations," NBER Working Papers 7731, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Louis Christofides & Chen Peng, 2003. "Contract Duration and Indexation in a Period of Real and Nominal Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Louis Christofides & Amy Chen Peng, 2006. "Major Provisions of Labour Contracts and their Theoretical Coherence," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  4. Leif Danziger, 2006. "Extension of Labor Contracts and Optimal Backpay," IZA Discussion Papers 2366, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-21.


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