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VaR and the cross-section of expected stock returns: an emerging market evidence

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  • Dar-Hsin Chen
  • Chun-Da Chen
  • Su-Chen Wu

Abstract

In this paper we investigate the explanatory power of the market beta, firm size, and the book-to-market ratio, as well as Value-at-Risk regarding the cross-sectional expected stock returns in a less developed stock market - Taiwan's stock market. The main purpose is to examine whether the Value-at-Risk factor has marginal explanatory power related to the Fama-French three-factor model. The empirical results show that Value-at-Risk can account for the average stock returns at both 1% and 5% significance levels based on cross-sectional regression analysis. Moreover, from the perspective of the time series regression, the Value-at-Risk factor can also demonstrate the variation of the stock market, especially for the larger companies in the Taiwan stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • Dar-Hsin Chen & Chun-Da Chen & Su-Chen Wu, 2014. "VaR and the cross-section of expected stock returns: an emerging market evidence," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(3), pages 441-459, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jbemgt:v:15:y:2014:i:3:p:441-459
    DOI: 10.3846/16111699.2012.744343
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    6. Gui, Pingshu & Zhu, Yifeng, 2021. "Value at risk and the cross-section of expected returns: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
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