IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/emetrv/v36y2017i10p1157-1172.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A nonparametric test for a constant correlation matrix

Author

Listed:
  • Dominik Wied

Abstract

We propose a nonparametric procedure to test for changes in correlation matrices at an unknown point in time. The new test requires constant expectations and variances, but only mild assumptions on the serial dependence structure, and has considerable power in finite samples. We derive the asymptotic distribution under the null hypothesis of no change as well as local power results and apply the test to stock returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Dominik Wied, 2017. "A nonparametric test for a constant correlation matrix," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(10), pages 1157-1172, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:36:y:2017:i:10:p:1157-1172
    DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2014.998152
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/07474938.2014.998152
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/07474938.2014.998152?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Davidson, James, 1994. "Stochastic Limit Theory: An Introduction for Econometricians," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774037, Decembrie.
    2. Dragan Radulović, 2012. "Necessary and sufficient conditions for the moving blocks bootstrap central limit theorem of the mean," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 343-357.
    3. Sangyeol Lee & Jeongcheol Ha & Okyoung Na & Seongryong Na, 2003. "The Cusum Test for Parameter Change in Time Series Models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 30(4), pages 781-796, December.
    4. Krämer, Walter & van Kampen, Maarten, 2011. "A simple nonparametric test for structural change in joint tail probabilities," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 110(3), pages 245-247, March.
    5. Berens, Tobias & Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Wied, Dominik, 2015. "Testing for structural breaks in correlations: Does it improve Value-at-Risk forecasting?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 135-152.
    6. Goncalves, Silvia & de Jong, Robert, 2003. "Consistency of the stationary bootstrap under weak moment conditions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(2), pages 273-278, November.
    7. Gaißer, Sandra & Schmid, Friedrich, 2010. "On testing equality of pairwise rank correlations in a multivariate random vector," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(10), pages 2598-2615, November.
    8. Olimjon Sharipov & Martin Wendler, 2012. "Bootstrap for the sample mean and for -statistics of mixing and near-epoch dependent processes," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 317-342.
    9. Galeano, Pedro & Peña, Daniel, 2004. "Variance changes detection in multivariate time series," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws041305, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    10. Benoit Mandelbrot, 2015. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 3, pages 39-78, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    11. Pedro Galeano & Dominik Wied, 2017. "Dating multiple change points in the correlation matrix," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 26(2), pages 331-352, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Peter N. Posch & Daniel Ullmann & Dominik Wied, 2019. "Detecting structural changes in large portfolios," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1341-1357, April.
    2. Pedro Galeano & Dominik Wied, 2017. "Dating multiple change points in the correlation matrix," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 26(2), pages 331-352, June.
    3. Horváth, Lajos & Rice, Gregory & Zhao, Yuqian, 2022. "Change point analysis of covariance functions: A weighted cumulative sum approach," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    4. Hong, Yongmiao & Linton, Oliver & McCabe, Brendan & Sun, Jiajing & Wang, Shouyang, 2024. "Kolmogorov–Smirnov type testing for structural breaks: A new adjusted-range based self-normalization approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
    5. Duan, Fang, 2022. "Forecasting risk measures based on structural breaks in the correlation matrix," Ruhr Economic Papers 945, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    6. Choi, Ji-Eun & Shin, Dong Wan, 2019. "Moving block bootstrapping for a CUSUM test for correlation change," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 95-106.
    7. Ji-Eun Choi & Dong Wan Shin, 2021. "A self-normalization break test for correlation matrix," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2333-2353, October.
    8. Fang Duan & Dominik Wied, 2018. "A residual-based multivariate constant correlation test," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 81(6), pages 653-687, August.
    9. Choi, Ji-Eun & Shin, Dong Wan, 2020. "A self-normalization test for correlation change," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    10. Thilo A. Schmitt & Rudi Schäfer & Dominik Wied & Thomas Guhr, 2016. "Spatial dependence in stock returns: local normalization and VaR forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 1091-1109, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wied, Dominik & Dehling, Herold & van Kampen, Maarten & Vogel, Daniel, 2014. "A fluctuation test for constant Spearman’s rho with nuisance-free limit distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 723-736.
    2. Pedro Galeano & Dominik Wied, 2017. "Dating multiple change points in the correlation matrix," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 26(2), pages 331-352, June.
    3. Dehling, Herold & Sharipov, Olimjon Sh. & Wendler, Martin, 2015. "Bootstrap for dependent Hilbert space-valued random variables with application to von Mises statistics," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 200-215.
    4. Deng, Ai & Perron, Pierre, 2008. "The Limit Distribution Of The Cusum Of Squares Test Under General Mixing Conditions," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(3), pages 809-822, June.
    5. Vanessa Berenguer-Rico & Bent Nielsen, 2015. "Cumulated sum of squares statistics for non-linear and non-stationary regressions," Economics Papers 2015-W09, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    6. Li, Jia & Patton, Andrew J., 2018. "Asymptotic inference about predictive accuracy using high frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 223-240.
    7. Calhoun, Gray, 2014. "Block Bootstrap Consistency Under Weak Assumptions," Staff General Research Papers Archive 34313, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    8. Xu, Ke-Li & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2008. "Adaptive estimation of autoregressive models with time-varying variances," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 265-280, January.
    9. El Ktaibi, Farid & Gail Ivanoff, B. & Weber, Neville C., 2014. "Bootstrapping the empirical distribution of a linear process," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 134-142.
    10. Fang Duan & Dominik Wied, 2018. "A residual-based multivariate constant correlation test," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 81(6), pages 653-687, August.
    11. Paul Ormerod, 2010. "La crisis actual y la culpabilidad de la teoría macroeconómica," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 12(22), pages 111-128, January-J.
    12. Zhao, Zhibiao & Wu, Wei Biao, 2009. "Nonparametric inference of discretely sampled stable Lévy processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 153(1), pages 83-92, November.
    13. Paulo M. D. C. Parente & Richard J. Smith, 2021. "Quasi‐maximum likelihood and the kernel block bootstrap for nonlinear dynamic models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(4), pages 377-405, July.
    14. Barunik, Jozef & Vacha, Lukas, 2010. "Monte Carlo-based tail exponent estimator," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(21), pages 4863-4874.
    15. Dominique Guégan & Wayne Tarrant, 2012. "On the necessity of five risk measures," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(4), pages 533-552, November.
    16. Alagidede, Paul & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2009. "Modelling stock returns in Africa's emerging equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(1-2), pages 1-11, March.
    17. Ben Klemens, 2013. "A Peer-based Model of Fat-tailed Outcomes," Papers 1304.0718, arXiv.org.
    18. Biqing Cai & Jiti Gao & Dag Tjøstheim, 2017. "A New Class of Bivariate Threshold Cointegration Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 288-305, April.
    19. Koutmos, Dimitrios, 2012. "An intertemporal capital asset pricing model with heterogeneous expectations," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 1176-1187.
    20. Turvey, Calum G., 2001. "Random Walks And Fractal Structures In Agricultural Commodity Futures Prices," Working Papers 34151, University of Guelph, Department of Food, Agricultural and Resource Economics.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:emetrv:v:36:y:2017:i:10:p:1157-1172. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/LECR20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.