IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v27y2013i13p4591-4610.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Factorial-based Dynamic Analysis Method for Reservoir Operation Under Fuzzy-stochastic Uncertainties

Author

Listed:
  • D. Fu
  • Y. Li
  • G. Huang

Abstract

In this study, a factorial-based fuzzy-stochastic dynamic programming (FFS-DP) method is developed for tackling multiple uncertainties including fuzziness, randomness and their interaction in reservoir operation management (ROM). FFS-DP is framed on the integration of stochastic dynamic programming, fuzzy-Markov chain, vertex analysis and factorial analysis techniques. It can not only deal with the conventional optimization problem for reflecting dynamic and uncertain features in ROM, but also obtain detailed effects of uncertain parameters and their interactions on the system performance. The developed method is applied to a case study of a reservoir operation system, where the local authority is in charge of allocating relative scant water to the downstream municipality. The results obtained can help the local authority identify desired water release policies under uncertain system conditions. Besides, the results simultaneously indicate that significant factors and their interactions can be identified in ROM. Moreover, the results can be further analyzed for generating optimal parameter inputs to obtain maximized system benefits. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Suggested Citation

  • D. Fu & Y. Li & G. Huang, 2013. "A Factorial-based Dynamic Analysis Method for Reservoir Operation Under Fuzzy-stochastic Uncertainties," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(13), pages 4591-4610, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:27:y:2013:i:13:p:4591-4610
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-013-0429-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11269-013-0429-6
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-013-0429-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. L. Reis & G. Walters & D. Savic & F. Chaudhry, 2005. "Multi-Reservoir Operation Planning Using Hybrid Genetic Algorithm and Linear Programming (GA-LP): An Alternative Stochastic Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 19(6), pages 831-848, December.
    2. Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Guo, P. & Yang, Z.F. & Nie, S.L., 2010. "A dual-interval vertex analysis method and its application to environmental decision making under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 200(2), pages 536-550, January.
    3. Noor Khan & Mukand Babel & Tawatchai Tingsanchali & Roberto Clemente & Huynh Luong, 2012. "Reservoir Optimization-Simulation with a Sediment Evacuation Model to Minimize Irrigation Deficits," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(11), pages 3173-3193, September.
    4. X. Qin & G. Huang, 2009. "An Inexact Chance-constrained Quadratic Programming Model for Stream Water Quality Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(4), pages 661-695, March.
    5. Cervellera, Cristiano & Chen, Victoria C.P. & Wen, Aihong, 2006. "Optimization of a large-scale water reservoir network by stochastic dynamic programming with efficient state space discretization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 171(3), pages 1139-1151, June.
    6. Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Chen, X., 2011. "Planning regional energy system in association with greenhouse gas mitigation under uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(3), pages 599-611, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhao Liu & Yiping Guo & Lixia Wang & Qing Wang, 2015. "Streamflow Forecast Errors and Their Impacts on Forecast-based Reservoir Flood Control," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(12), pages 4557-4572, September.
    2. Jinping Zhang & Yong Zhao & Weihua Xiao, 2014. "Study on Markov Joint Transition Probability and Encounter Probability of Rainfall and Reference Crop Evapotranspiration in the Irrigation District," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(15), pages 5543-5553, December.
    3. Gaiqiang Yang & Ping Guo & Mo Li & Shiqi Fang & Liudong Zhang, 2016. "An Improved Solving Approach for Interval-Parameter Programming and Application to an Optimal Allocation of Irrigation Water Problem," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 701-729, January.
    4. Gaiqiang Yang & Ping Guo & Mo Li & Shiqi Fang & Liudong Zhang, 2016. "An Improved Solving Approach for Interval-Parameter Programming and Application to an Optimal Allocation of Irrigation Water Problem," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 701-729, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Patrizio, P. & Leduc, S. & Chinese, D. & Kraxner, F., 2017. "Internalizing the external costs of biogas supply chains in the Italian energy sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 85-96.
    2. Zéphyr, Luckny & Lang, Pascal & Lamond, Bernard F. & Côté, Pascal, 2017. "Approximate stochastic dynamic programming for hydroelectric production planning," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(2), pages 586-601.
    3. Yulei Xie & Linrui Wang & Guohe Huang & Dehong Xia & Ling Ji, 2018. "A Stochastic Inexact Robust Model for Regional Energy System Management and Emission Reduction Potential Analysis—A Case Study of Zibo City, China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-24, August.
    4. Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Li, M.W., 2014. "An integrated optimization modeling approach for planning emission trading and clean-energy development under uncertainty," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 31-46.
    5. Hongling, Liu & Chuanwen, Jiang & Yan, Zhang, 2008. "A review on risk-constrained hydropower scheduling in deregulated power market," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 12(5), pages 1465-1475, June.
    6. Tavana, Madjid & Khosrojerdi, Ghasem & Mina, Hassan & Rahman, Amirah, 2019. "A hybrid mathematical programming model for optimal project portfolio selection using fuzzy inference system and analytic hierarchy process," Evaluation and Program Planning, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    7. Muhammad Usman Rashid & Abid Latif & Muhammad Azmat, 2018. "Optimizing Irrigation Deficit of Multipurpose Cascade Reservoirs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(5), pages 1675-1687, March.
    8. M. Islam & Rehan Sadiq & Manuel Rodriguez & Homayoun Najjaran & Alex Francisque & Mina Hoorfar, 2013. "Evaluating Water Quality Failure Potential in Water Distribution Systems: A Fuzzy-TOPSIS-OWA-based Methodology," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 2195-2216, May.
    9. Zehua Yang & Victoria C. P. Chen & Michael E. Chang & Melanie L. Sattler & Aihong Wen, 2009. "A Decision-Making Framework for Ozone Pollution Control," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 57(2), pages 484-498, April.
    10. Jin, S.W. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Nie, S., 2018. "Analyzing the performance of clean development mechanism for electric power systems under uncertain environment," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 382-397.
    11. Zhai, Mengyu & Huang, Guohe & Liu, Lirong & Zheng, Boyue & Guan, Yuru, 2020. "Inter-regional carbon flows embodied in electricity transmission: network simulation for energy-carbon nexus," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    12. Abbas Afshar & Fariborz Masoumi & Sam Solis, 2015. "Reliability Based Optimum Reservoir Design by Hybrid ACO-LP Algorithm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(6), pages 2045-2058, April.
    13. Cao, M.F. & Huang, G.H. & Lin, Q.G., 2010. "Integer programming with random-boundary intervals for planning municipal power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(8), pages 2506-2516, August.
    14. Zhu, Ying & Yan, Xiaxia & Chen, Cong & Li, Yongping & Huang, Guohe & Li, Yexin, 2019. "Analysis of industry-air quality control in ecologically fragile coal-dependent cities by an uncertain Gaussian diffusion-Hurwicz criterion model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 1191-1205.
    15. Javier Paredes-Arquiola & Joaquín Andreu-Álvarez & Miguel Martín-Monerris & Abel Solera, 2010. "Water Quantity and Quality Models Applied to the Jucar River Basin, Spain," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(11), pages 2759-2779, September.
    16. Liu, J. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Zeng, X.T., 2014. "A dual-interval fixed-mix stochastic programming method for water resources management under uncertainty," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 50-66.
    17. S. Faghihirad & B. Lin & R. A. Falconer, 2017. "3D Layer-Integrated Modelling of Morphodynamic Processes Near River Regulated Structures," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 443-460, January.
    18. Welsch, M. & Hermann, S. & Howells, M. & Rogner, H.H. & Young, C. & Ramma, I. & Bazilian, M. & Fischer, G. & Alfstad, T. & Gielen, D. & Le Blanc, D. & Röhrl, A. & Steduto, P. & Müller, A., 2014. "Adding value with CLEWS – Modelling the energy system and its interdependencies for Mauritius," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1434-1445.
    19. Xu, Y. & Huang, G.H. & Qin, X.S. & Cao, M.F., 2009. "SRCCP: A stochastic robust chance-constrained programming model for municipal solid waste management under uncertainty," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 352-363.
    20. Ping-Feng Pai & Fong-Chuan Lee, 2010. "A Rough Set Based Model in Water Quality Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(11), pages 2405-2418, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:27:y:2013:i:13:p:4591-4610. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.