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Probabilistic Flow Duration Curves for Small Hydro Plant Design and Performance Evaluation

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  • Ioannis Niadas
  • Panos Mentzelopoulos

Abstract

This work presents a probabilistic flow duration methodology that can be used as an alternative approach to the design and performance evaluation of small hydro plants. The probabilistic approach aims to quantify the uncertainty influencing the design and the economic outlook of small hydropower projects thus overcoming the limitations of the standard design methodology, which is based on a deterministic approach through the historical flow duration curve at the intake site. A simple probabilistic flow duration curve model is presented and an applied case study of the probabilistic approach to plant design and evaluation is provided based on a typical small hydro plant in a mountainous region of Greece. The results of this study however are not restricted to any particular geographical region and the methodology can be applied in a variety of hydrologic and economic environments. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2008

Suggested Citation

  • Ioannis Niadas & Panos Mentzelopoulos, 2008. "Probabilistic Flow Duration Curves for Small Hydro Plant Design and Performance Evaluation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(4), pages 509-523, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:22:y:2008:i:4:p:509-523
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-007-9175-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jessie Cherry & Heidi Cullen & Martin Visbeck & Arthur Small & Cintia Uvo, 2005. "Impacts of the North Atlantic Oscillation on Scandinavian Hydropower Production and Energy Markets," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 19(6), pages 673-691, December.
    2. Lorenzo Alfieri & Paolo Perona & Paolo Burlando, 2006. "Optimal Water Allocation for an Alpine Hydropower System Under Changing Scenarios," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 20(5), pages 761-778, October.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Pierre Razurel & Lorenzo Gorla & Benoît Crouzy & Paolo Perona, 2016. "Non-proportional Repartition Rules Optimize Environmental Flows and Energy Production," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(1), pages 207-223, January.
    2. Marco Franchini & Ernesto Ventaglio & Alessandra Bonoli, 2011. "A Procedure for Evaluating the Compatibility of Surface Water Resources with Environmental and Human Requirements," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(14), pages 3613-3634, November.
    3. Bragalli, Cristiana & Micocci, Domenico & Naldi, Giovanni, 2023. "On the influence of net head and efficiency fluctuations over the performance of existing run-of-river hydropower plants," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 1170-1179.
    4. Sasthav, Colin & Oladosu, Gbadebo, 2022. "Environmental design of low-head run-of-river hydropower in the United States: A review of facility design models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    5. Emanuela Sassu & Riccardo Zucca & Giovanni M. Sechi, 2021. "Calibration Procedure of Regional Flow Duration Curves Evaluating Water Resource Withdrawal from Diversion Dams," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(4), pages 1135-1148, March.
    6. Ciric, Rade M., 2019. "Review of techno-economic and environmental aspects of building small hydro electric plants – A case study in Serbia," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 715-721.
    7. Barelli, L. & Liucci, L. & Ottaviano, A. & Valigi, D., 2013. "Mini-hydro: A design approach in case of torrential rivers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 695-706.
    8. Ardizzon, G. & Cavazzini, G. & Pavesi, G., 2014. "A new generation of small hydro and pumped-hydro power plants: Advances and future challenges," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 746-761.
    9. Luisa Liucci & Daniela Valigi & Stefano Casadei, 2014. "A New Application of Flow Duration Curve (FDC) in Designing Run-of-River Power Plants," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(3), pages 881-895, February.
    10. Pierre Razurel & Lorenzo Gorla & Benoît Crouzy & Paolo Perona, 2016. "Non-proportional Repartition Rules Optimize Environmental Flows and Energy Production," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(1), pages 207-223, January.

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