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Exploiting investor sentiment for portfolio optimization

Author

Listed:
  • N. Banholzer

    (ETH Zurich)

  • S. Heiden

    (University of Augsburg)

  • D. Schneller

    (University of Augsburg)

Abstract

The information contained in investor sentiment has up to now hardly been used for portfolio optimization, although theoretical works demonstrate that it should not be neglected and it has already been shown to contain exploitable information on future returns and volatility. Employing the approach of Copula Opinion Pooling, we explore how sentiment information regarding international stock markets can be directly incorporated into the portfolio optimization procedure. We subsequently show that sentiment information can be exploited by a trading strategy that takes into account a medium-term reversal effect of sentiment on returns. This sentiment-based strategy outperforms several benchmark strategies in terms of different performance and downside risk measures. More importantly, the results remain robust to changes in the parameter specification.

Suggested Citation

  • N. Banholzer & S. Heiden & D. Schneller, 2019. "Exploiting investor sentiment for portfolio optimization," Business Research, Springer;German Academic Association for Business Research, vol. 12(2), pages 671-702, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:busres:v:12:y:2019:i:2:d:10.1007_s40685-018-0062-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s40685-018-0062-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Prajwal Eachempati & Praveen Ranjan Srivastava, 2021. "Accounting for unadjusted news sentiment for asset pricing," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(3), pages 383-422, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Portfolio optimization; Investor sentiment; Copula opinion pooling; Behavioral finance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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