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Применение Моделей Бинарного Выбора Для Прогнозирования Банкротства Банков

Author

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  • Федорова Е.А.
  • Гиленко Е.В.

Abstract

В работе предложена модель прогнозирования банкротства российских банков на основе применения эконометрического аппарата моделей бинарного выбора. Итоговый комплексный показатель состоит из пяти факторов. В работе построены предельные эффекты, которые позволяют оценить изменение вероятности банкротства при разных значениях факторов, влияющих на состояние банкротства банка. В работе по результатам оценивания прогнозной силы разработанной модели получен вывод о достаточно высокой степени точности прогнозирования банкротства банка.

Suggested Citation

  • Федорова Е.А. & Гиленко Е.В., 2013. "Применение Моделей Бинарного Выбора Для Прогнозирования Банкротства Банков," Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), Центральный Экономико-Математический Институт (ЦЭМИ), vol. 49(1), pages 106-118, январь.
    • Handle: RePEc:scn:cememm:v:49:y:2013:i:1:p:106-118
    Note: Москва
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    References listed on IDEAS

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